沙田 · 2021-05-23
第 3場
2021-05-23沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由J Moreira策騎、J Size訓練的DROPS OF GOD勝出，贏出2-1/4。VICTORY SCHOLARS獲得亞軍；COURAGEOUS KNIGHT獲得季軍。頭馬以1.8倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | DROPS OF GOD 1.08.89 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 7 | 1.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 1 | VICTORY SCHOLARS CP1 Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 3 | 2.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 3 | COURAGEOUS KNIGHT B1/TT1 M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 4 | 137.0 | 4 |
| 4 | 7 | NAMJONG CORTEZ H-/B1/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 2 | 82.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | REGENT GLORY C Schofield · D A Hayes | C Schofield | D A Hayes | 6 | 26.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | BELLA BABY XB/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 14 | 14.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | SUNDAY BETTING TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 5 | 18.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | SPARKY STAR B- K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 10 | 27.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | ILLUSTRIOUS R Maia · T P Yung | R Maia | T P Yung | 1 | 146.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 13 | JUNGLE BLAZE TT T Piccone · K W Lui | T Piccone | K W Lui | 12 | 244.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | MEGA BONUS B/XB K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 13 | 31.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | MUDITA B- M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 59.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 13 | 14 | SKY CHAMPION H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 8 | 117.0 | 12 |
| 14 | 10 | ENJOY MY LIFE B1/XB1/TT K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 9 | 300.0 | 14-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | VICTORY SCHOLARS | 27.7% | 3.61 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | DROPS OF GOD | 27.5% | 3.64 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | BELLA BABY | 9.5% | 10.50 | 6 |
| 4 | 12 | SUNDAY BETTING | 6.9% | 14.57 | 7 |
| 5 | 8 | REGENT GLORY | 5.3% | 19.02 | 5 |
| 6 | 3 | COURAGEOUS KNIGHT | 5.3% | 19.04 | 3 |
| 7 | 6 | MEGA BONUS | 4.3% | 23.27 | 11 |
| 8 | 11 | MUDITA | 4.3% | 23.37 | 12 |
| 9 | 9 | SPARKY STAR | 4.3% | 23.51 | 8 |
| 10 | 5 | ILLUSTRIOUS | 2.5% | 39.66 | 9 |
| 11 | 14 | SKY CHAMPION | 0.9% | 106.95 | 13 |
| 12 | 10 | ENJOY MY LIFE | 0.7% | 146.74 | 14 |
| 13 | 13 | JUNGLE BLAZE | 0.6% | 154.40 | 10 |
| 14 | 7 | NAMJONG CORTEZ | 0.3% | 297.33 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 18.5
PLACE
1 10.5
3 194.5
4 12
QUINELLA
1,4 25
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 272
1,4 14.5
3,4 260
FORECAST
4,1 46
TIERCE
4,1,3 1,391
TRIO
1,3,4 358
FIRST 4
1,3,4,7 5,162
QUARTET
4,1,3,7 33,929
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE
2/1 31
2/4 148.5
3 PICK 1
A1 11
A2 —
A3 —