跑馬地 · 2021-06-23
第 5場
2021-06-23跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由C L Chau策騎、D J Whyte訓練的NOBLE DESIRE勝出，贏出1/2。BEAUTY CHEERS獲得亞軍；TELECOM ROCKET獲得季軍。頭馬以4.2倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | NOBLE DESIRE SR/XB 1.09.92 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 4 | 4.2 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 10 | BEAUTY CHEERS E-/P- C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 1 | 7.1 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | TELECOM ROCKET B M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 3 | 4.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 7 | CHIRON CP-/TT B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 5 | 16.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | FLAMING PASSION CP/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 12 | 6.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 6 | BALTIC WHISPER TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 7 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | GOOD SHOT XB J Moreira · D J Hall | J Moreira | D J Hall | 9 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 2 | THE ANOMALY M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 10 | 24.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 12 | HAPPY TIME TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 11 | 17.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | TELECOM CHEETAH B1/TT T Piccone · C H Yip | T Piccone | C H Yip | 2 | 50.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 8 | BULLISH BROTHER B/TT H N Wong · A S Cruz | H N Wong | A S Cruz | 8 | 38.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | BRANDING POWER TT A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 6 | 10.0 | 11-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | GOOD SHOT | 18.2% | 5.49 | 7 |
| 2 | 6 | BALTIC WHISPER | 13.9% | 7.22 | 6 |
| 3 | 9 | NOBLE DESIRE | 11.5% | 8.67 | 1 |
| 4 | 10 | BEAUTY CHEERS | 10.8% | 9.28 | 2 |
| 5 | 4 | FLAMING PASSION | 10.7% | 9.31 | 5 |
| 6 | 11 | BRANDING POWER | 10.6% | 9.47 | 12 |
| 7 | 1 | TELECOM ROCKET | 6.5% | 15.42 | 3 |
| 8 | 7 | CHIRON | 5.9% | 17.01 | 4 |
| 9 | 2 | THE ANOMALY | 5.6% | 17.97 | 8 |
| 10 | 12 | HAPPY TIME | 4.0% | 24.85 | 9 |
| 11 | 8 | BULLISH BROTHER | 1.5% | 67.24 | 11 |
| 12 | 3 | TELECOM CHEETAH | 0.9% | 113.99 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 42
PLACE
1 17.5
9 15
10 24.5
QUINELLA
9,10 132.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,9 38
1,10 69
9,10 49.5
FORECAST
9,10 224
TIERCE
9,10,1 1,023
TRIO
1,9,10 240
FIRST 4
1,7,9,10 645
QUARTET
9,10,1,7 8,527
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,5,7/1,9,10 4,357
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 22
4TH DOUBLE
3/9 319.5
3/10 103