Happy Valley · 2021-06-23
Race 5
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2021-06-23 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. NOBLE DESIRE, ridden by C L Chau and trained by D J Whyte, won by 1/2, with BEAUTY CHEERS second and TELECOM ROCKET third. Victory came as the 4.2 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | NOBLE DESIRE SR/XB 1.09.92 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 4 | 4.2 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 10 | BEAUTY CHEERS E-/P- C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 1 | 7.1 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | TELECOM ROCKET B M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 3 | 4.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 7 | CHIRON CP-/TT B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 5 | 16.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | FLAMING PASSION CP/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 12 | 6.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 6 | BALTIC WHISPER TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 7 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | GOOD SHOT XB J Moreira · D J Hall | J Moreira | D J Hall | 9 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 2 | THE ANOMALY M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 10 | 24.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 12 | HAPPY TIME TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 11 | 17.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | TELECOM CHEETAH B1/TT T Piccone · C H Yip | T Piccone | C H Yip | 2 | 50.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 8 | BULLISH BROTHER B/TT H N Wong · A S Cruz | H N Wong | A S Cruz | 8 | 38.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | BRANDING POWER TT A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 6 | 10.0 | 11-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | GOOD SHOT | 18.2% | 5.49 | 7 |
| 2 | 6 | BALTIC WHISPER | 13.9% | 7.22 | 6 |
| 3 | 9 | NOBLE DESIRE | 11.5% | 8.67 | 1 |
| 4 | 10 | BEAUTY CHEERS | 10.8% | 9.28 | 2 |
| 5 | 4 | FLAMING PASSION | 10.7% | 9.31 | 5 |
| 6 | 11 | BRANDING POWER | 10.6% | 9.47 | 12 |
| 7 | 1 | TELECOM ROCKET | 6.5% | 15.42 | 3 |
| 8 | 7 | CHIRON | 5.9% | 17.01 | 4 |
| 9 | 2 | THE ANOMALY | 5.6% | 17.97 | 8 |
| 10 | 12 | HAPPY TIME | 4.0% | 24.85 | 9 |
| 11 | 8 | BULLISH BROTHER | 1.5% | 67.24 | 11 |
| 12 | 3 | TELECOM CHEETAH | 0.9% | 113.99 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 42
PLACE
1 17.5
9 15
10 24.5
QUINELLA
9,10 132.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,9 38
1,10 69
9,10 49.5
FORECAST
9,10 224
TIERCE
9,10,1 1,023
TRIO
1,9,10 240
FIRST 4
1,7,9,10 645
QUARTET
9,10,1,7 8,527
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,5,7/1,9,10 4,357
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 22
4TH DOUBLE
3/9 319.5
3/10 103