Happy Valley · 2021-06-23
Race 1
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2021-06-23 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SKY TREASURE, ridden by K Teetan and trained by Y S Tsui, won by 2, with FALCON TURBO second and ISLAND SHINE third. Victory came as the 3.6 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | SKY TREASURE H 1.09.64 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 3 | 3.6 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | FALCON TURBO B A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 9 | 5.8 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | ISLAND SHINE B C Schofield · P F Yiu | C Schofield | P F Yiu | 8 | 6.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | JAZZ STEED B-/TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 5 | 6.2 | 3 |
| 5 | 6 | REGENT GLORY B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 6 | 7.2 | 4 |
| 6 | 5 | BLAZING BEAT B-/XB1 R Maia · C W Chang | R Maia | C W Chang | 1 | 19.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 11 | GLADSOME RYDER B/TT T Piccone · R Gibson | T Piccone | R Gibson | 7 | 74.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | AMAZEMENT B J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 12 | 12.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | VIVA HUNTER K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 10 | 23.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | SCHOLAR H1/TT H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 2 | 78.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | MEHBOOB B/XB N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 17.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | TOP MILITARY B M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 4 | 19.0 | 16 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | AMAZEMENT | 18.3% | 5.45 | 8 |
| 2 | 1 | ISLAND SHINE | 16.4% | 6.09 | 3 |
| 3 | 4 | JAZZ STEED | 12.9% | 7.75 | 4 |
| 4 | 6 | REGENT GLORY | 9.9% | 10.12 | 5 |
| 5 | 8 | VIVA HUNTER | 9.8% | 10.17 | 9 |
| 6 | 10 | TOP MILITARY | 7.8% | 12.81 | 12 |
| 7 | 3 | FALCON TURBO | 7.7% | 13.00 | 2 |
| 8 | 12 | SKY TREASURE | 7.6% | 13.23 | 1 |
| 9 | 5 | BLAZING BEAT | 3.8% | 26.35 | 6 |
| 10 | 2 | MEHBOOB | 2.5% | 39.45 | 11 |
| 11 | 7 | SCHOLAR | 1.8% | 55.37 | 10 |
| 12 | 11 | GLADSOME RYDER | 1.4% | 70.05 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 36
PLACE
1 21
3 17.5
12 16.5
QUINELLA
3,12 100
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 53
1,12 44.5
3,12 40.5
FORECAST
12,3 247
TIERCE
12,3,1 711
TRIO
1,3,12 178
FIRST 4
1,3,4,12 113
QUARTET
12,3,1,4 2,197
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 19.5
A1 —