Happy Valley · 2021-06-23
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2021-06-23 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SPICY GRILL, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by N, with LUCKY MARYKNOLL second and VIVA MAMA third. The 3.2 favourite SHANGHAI POWER finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | SPICY GRILL H-/B/TT 1.09.91 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 10 | 11.0 | N |
| 2 | 6 | LUCKY MARYKNOLL TT R Maia · D A Hayes | R Maia | D A Hayes | 6 | 37.0 | N |
| 3 | 9 | VIVA MAMA TT M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 2 | 7.3 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | SHANGHAI POWER B K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 5 | 3.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | REGENCY POET B/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 8 | 8.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | WONDER BRAHMA B/H J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 12 | 5.5 | 3 |
| 7 | 4 | AFTER ME B H W Lai · D E Ferraris | H W Lai | D E Ferraris | 9 | 24.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | ARDENODE TT B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 3 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | VECTOR B/H/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 1 | 41.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 1 | SUNNY AND GOLD H/TT Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 11 | 11.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 5 | OURGOLDENRULES B/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 7 | 25.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 2 | DAY DAY RICH B/TT C Wong · T P Yung | C Wong | T P Yung | 4 | 13.0 | 6-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | VIVA MAMA | 21.0% | 4.76 | 3 |
| 2 | 11 | SHANGHAI POWER | 12.3% | 8.13 | 4 |
| 3 | 12 | WONDER BRAHMA | 12.2% | 8.18 | 6 |
| 4 | 8 | ARDENODE | 10.9% | 9.14 | 8 |
| 5 | 1 | SUNNY AND GOLD | 9.4% | 10.63 | 10 |
| 6 | 10 | SPICY GRILL | 7.9% | 12.66 | 1 |
| 7 | 7 | REGENCY POET | 6.6% | 15.12 | 5 |
| 8 | 5 | OURGOLDENRULES | 5.9% | 17.04 | 11 |
| 9 | 2 | DAY DAY RICH | 4.7% | 21.20 | 12 |
| 10 | 4 | AFTER ME | 3.8% | 26.04 | 7 |
| 11 | 6 | LUCKY MARYKNOLL | 3.2% | 31.37 | 2 |
| 12 | 3 | VECTOR | 2.0% | 50.58 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 115.5
PLACE
6 90
9 20.5
10 34
QUINELLA
6,10 2,874
QUINELLA PLACE
6,9 345
6,10 667
9,10 156.5
FORECAST
10,6 6,823
TIERCE
10,6,9 55,375
TRIO
6,9,10 5,371
FIRST 4
6,9,10,11 3,194
QUARTET
10,6,9,11 115,402
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
12/6 330.5
12/10 1,074.5
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 24.5