Happy Valley · 2021-06-23
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GREEN LUCK Closed strongly B 1.38.07 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 2 | 5.5 | N |
| 2 | 0 | HIGHLAND FORTUNE Closed strongly K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 1 | 3.7 | N |
| 3 | 0 | SAVAQUIN Closed strongly Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 6 | 3.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | GLORIOUS ARTIST Closed strongly K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 4 | 27.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | SOLAR WAI WAI Led early M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 8 | 40.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | THE ROCK C Schofield · C Fownes | C Schofield | C Fownes | 3 | 5.3 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | HOLY HEART Closed strongly PC/TT A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 5 | 14.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | MAGNIFICENT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 9 | 22.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | CALIFORNIA RAD B/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 7 | 7.3 | 11 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2021-06-23 was Class 2 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. GREEN LUCK, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C Fownes, won by N, with HIGHLAND FORTUNE second and SAVAQUIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite HIGHLAND FORTUNE finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GREEN LUCK | 22.3% | 4.49 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | SAVAQUIN | 19.5% | 5.14 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | THE ROCK | 15.5% | 6.44 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | HIGHLAND FORTUNE | 14.5% | 6.90 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | HOLY HEART | 7.9% | 12.68 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | CALIFORNIA RAD | 7.8% | 12.84 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | GLORIOUS ARTIST | 5.2% | 19.35 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | SOLAR WAI WAI | 4.0% | 25.00 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | MAGNIFICENT | 3.4% | 29.21 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 55
PLACE
3 17.5
5 16
7 14.5
QUINELLA
3,7 122.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 32
3,7 41.5
5,7 31.5
FORECAST
3,7 305
TIERCE
3,7,5 800
TRIO
3,5,7 106
FIRST 4
1,3,5,7 403
QUARTET
3,7,5,1 8,246
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 22.5
3RD DOUBLE
2/3 460.5
2/7 69