Happy Valley · 2021-06-23
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2021-06-23 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. TELECOM FIGHTERS, ridden by J Moreira and trained by Y S Tsui, won by 1, with EXCEPTIONAL NICE second and CELESTIAL POWER third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 2.6 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | TELECOM FIGHTERS Wire to wire 1.39.05 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 5 | 2.6 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | EXCEPTIONAL NICE Closed strongly E1 A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 1 | 5.9 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | CELESTIAL POWER Closed strongly V Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 11 | 7.2 | 1 |
| 4 | 9 | SACRED IBIS Closed strongly XB M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 4 | 8.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | INDICATIVE VOTE B-/XB-/TT2 H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 8 | 46.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | HELENE WISDOM STAR Closed strongly H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 9 | 9.5 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | YOO YOO KING Closed strongly TT R Maia · K H Ting | R Maia | K H Ting | 6 | 108.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | SMILING CITY CP/SR A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 3 | 11.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 12 | SKY SHOW TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 10 | 18.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | KING'S CAPITAL Closed strongly XB/CP1 M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 7 | 16.0 | 10 |
| 11 | 7 | TURIN REDSTAR B/TT K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 12 | 37.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | WINNING FOR ALL B/H/XB C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 26.0 | 49 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | EXCEPTIONAL NICE | 22.2% | 4.50 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | CELESTIAL POWER | 20.6% | 4.86 | 3 |
| 3 | 4 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 17.7% | 5.64 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | HELENE WISDOM STAR | 12.5% | 8.00 | 6 |
| 5 | 12 | SKY SHOW | 5.4% | 18.35 | 9 |
| 6 | 11 | SMILING CITY | 4.7% | 21.12 | 8 |
| 7 | 5 | WINNING FOR ALL | 4.5% | 22.13 | 12 |
| 8 | 9 | SACRED IBIS | 3.4% | 29.32 | 4 |
| 9 | 7 | TURIN REDSTAR | 3.0% | 32.97 | 11 |
| 10 | 10 | KING'S CAPITAL | 3.0% | 33.53 | 10 |
| 11 | 3 | INDICATIVE VOTE | 2.1% | 46.77 | 5 |
| 12 | 6 | YOO YOO KING | 0.7% | 140.49 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 26
PLACE
1 23
4 14.5
8 17.5
QUINELLA
4,8 81.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 47.5
1,8 79
4,8 28
FORECAST
4,8 110
TIERCE
4,8,1 529
TRIO
1,4,8 164
FIRST 4
1,4,8,9 280
QUARTET
4,8,1,9 3,245
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 18
A3 —
7TH DOUBLE
11/4 395.5
11/8 100