Happy Valley · 2021-06-23
Race 9
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2021-06-23 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. CLASSIC POSH, ridden by H Bentley and trained by D J Hall, won by 1-1/4, with DECISIVE TWELVE second and HERE COMES TED third. The 3.1 favourite HERE COMES TED finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | CLASSIC POSH 1.09.45 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · D J Hall | H Bentley | D J Hall | 2 | 16.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 5 | DECISIVE TWELVE TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 3 | 4.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 12 | HERE COMES TED B2/TT J Moreira · D E Ferraris | J Moreira | D E Ferraris | 4 | 3.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER PC K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 7 | 9.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | UTOPIA LIFE B K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 1 | 24.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | HAPPY LAND TT R Maia · C S Shum | R Maia | C S Shum | 5 | 66.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | BE READY V M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 10 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 7 | A LA KING B C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 12 | 16.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD B/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 9 | 15.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | AMAZING NEWS TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 6 | 6.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | BIZ POWER B A Hamelin · P O'Sullivan | A Hamelin | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 31.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 6 | THE MULTIPLIER B1/TT1 B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 11 | 85.0 | 8-1/2 |
| — | 0 | KING OPIE · F C Lor | — | F C Lor | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | HERE COMES TED | 19.0% | 5.27 | 3 |
| 2 | 5 | DECISIVE TWELVE | 18.0% | 5.55 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER | 14.7% | 6.80 | 4 |
| 4 | 2 | BE READY | 12.3% | 8.13 | 7 |
| 5 | 1 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD | 8.7% | 11.47 | 9 |
| 6 | 10 | BIZ POWER | 7.2% | 13.91 | 11 |
| 7 | 7 | A LA KING | 5.5% | 18.11 | 8 |
| 8 | 9 | AMAZING NEWS | 3.8% | 26.20 | 10 |
| 9 | 11 | CLASSIC POSH | 3.4% | 29.13 | 1 |
| 10 | 8 | UTOPIA LIFE | 3.0% | 33.24 | 5 |
| 11 | 6 | THE MULTIPLIER | 2.4% | 41.60 | 12 |
| 12 | 4 | HAPPY LAND | 1.9% | 52.05 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 164.5
PLACE
5 16.5
11 39
12 17
QUINELLA
5,11 326.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,11 110
5,12 36
11,12 92.5
FORECAST
11,5 841
TIERCE
11,5,12 3,046
TRIO
5,11,12 440
FIRST 4
3,5,11,12 445
QUARTET
11,5,12,3 17,071
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 33
A1 —
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,8/5,11,12 7,485
8TH DOUBLE
4/5 30.5
4/11 426.5
SIX UP
3,7/9,10/2,6/1,11/4,8/5,11 4,511
3/9/2/11/4/11 191,071
2 [K Teetan] —
TREBLE
11/4/5 359
11/4/11 6,038