Happy Valley · 2021-06-23
Race 3
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2021-06-23 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. WILD WEST WING, ridden by K Teetan and trained by J Size, won by N, with SUPER COMMANDER second and FARIBAULT third. The 3.8 favourite WHISKEY NEAT finished 11th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | WILD WEST WING 0.57.10 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 5 | 7.2 | N |
| 2 | 4 | SUPER COMMANDER TT B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 1 | 5.8 | N |
| 3 | 12 | FARIBAULT CP C Wong · P O'Sullivan | C Wong | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 46.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | MY MY MY XB- K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 2 | 14.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | HAPPILY FRIENDS V C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 11 | 20.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | PACKING CHAMPION H/P Z Purton · L Ho | Z Purton | L Ho | 7 | 5.8 | 3 |
| 7 | 10 | VALIANT ELEGANCE B/TT C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 6 | 5.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | WINMORE STAR H Bentley · K L Man | H Bentley | K L Man | 8 | 39.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | TRAVEL DATUK B M F Poon · R Gibson | M F Poon | R Gibson | 9 | 15.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | INESTIMABLE M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 4 | 27.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | WHISKEY NEAT H2/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 3 | 3.8 | 7 |
| 12 | 9 | MASTER OF FUN N Callan · C H Yip | N Callan | C H Yip | 10 | 77.0 | 9 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | WHISKEY NEAT | 23.2% | 4.31 | 11 |
| 2 | 10 | VALIANT ELEGANCE | 18.5% | 5.41 | 7 |
| 3 | 8 | PACKING CHAMPION | 12.6% | 7.94 | 6 |
| 4 | 2 | WILD WEST WING | 11.0% | 9.07 | 1 |
| 5 | 4 | SUPER COMMANDER | 10.0% | 10.03 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 | MY MY MY | 8.5% | 11.78 | 4 |
| 7 | 11 | HAPPILY FRIENDS | 5.0% | 20.10 | 5 |
| 8 | 7 | TRAVEL DATUK | 4.1% | 24.36 | 9 |
| 9 | 12 | FARIBAULT | 2.0% | 50.77 | 3 |
| 10 | 6 | WINMORE STAR | 1.9% | 51.92 | 8 |
| 11 | 5 | INESTIMABLE | 1.9% | 53.27 | 10 |
| 12 | 9 | MASTER OF FUN | 1.4% | 70.44 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 72
PLACE
2 24
4 20
12 127.5
QUINELLA
2,4 180.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 71
2,12 557
4,12 416
FORECAST
2,4 418
TIERCE
2,4,12 13,387
TRIO
2,4,12 4,295
FIRST 4
2,3,4,12 11,762
QUARTET
2,4,12,3 171,892
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
10/2 1,728.5
10/4 196.5
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 20