Happy Valley · 2021-06-23
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2021-06-23 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. FA FA, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by F C Lor, won by 1-3/4, with ERNEST FEELING second and ZHAN JIANG ROCKS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.5 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | FA FA Closed strongly TT 1.39.65 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 2 | 2.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 6 | ERNEST FEELING Closed strongly CP-/B1/TT K Teetan · R Gibson | K Teetan | R Gibson | 11 | 6.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | ZHAN JIANG ROCKS Closed strongly TT J Moreira · W Y So | J Moreira | W Y So | 6 | 7.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 8 | OWNERS' STAR Closed strongly B-/CP1/TT- M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 10 | 41.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 11 | RED IMPACT Closed strongly M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 4 | 18.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | FAST PACE H N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | 8 | 10.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | MANNA FROM HEAVEN XB M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 1 | 7.4 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 10 | MAXIMIZE HEART Closed strongly B-/CP1 K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 12 | 23.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 5 | THE MINT H/V/TT H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 5 | 100.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | MOONLUCK CP Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 9 | 14.0 | 12 |
| 11 | 3 | GALACTIC B A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 3 | 12.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | WON BALL Led early TT H N Wong · P O'Sullivan | H N Wong | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 68.0 | 15 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | FA FA | 16.7% | 6.00 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | MANNA FROM HEAVEN | 16.6% | 6.03 | 7 |
| 3 | 4 | ZHAN JIANG ROCKS | 14.0% | 7.12 | 3 |
| 4 | 6 | ERNEST FEELING | 11.9% | 8.40 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | MOONLUCK | 11.5% | 8.67 | 10 |
| 6 | 3 | GALACTIC | 10.6% | 9.40 | 11 |
| 7 | 1 | FAST PACE | 6.1% | 16.49 | 6 |
| 8 | 8 | OWNERS' STAR | 3.9% | 25.62 | 4 |
| 9 | 10 | MAXIMIZE HEART | 3.5% | 28.37 | 8 |
| 10 | 12 | WON BALL | 2.4% | 42.11 | 12 |
| 11 | 11 | RED IMPACT | 2.3% | 43.27 | 5 |
| 12 | 5 | THE MINT | 0.5% | 210.09 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 25
PLACE
2 13.5
4 23.5
6 21
QUINELLA
2,6 98.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 42.5
2,6 41
4,6 75
FORECAST
2,6 213
TIERCE
2,6,4 859
TRIO
2,4,6 194
FIRST 4
2,4,6,8 1,293
QUARTET
2,6,4,8 14,681
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 19
A3 —
5TH DOUBLE
9/2 123
9/6 72.5