Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Happy Valley · 2021-06-23

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD 1650m Course C 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.39.65
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 FA FA Closed strongly TT 1.39.65 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · F C Lor 2 2.5 1-3/4
2 0 ERNEST FEELING Closed strongly CP-/B1/TT K Teetan · R Gibson 11 6.2 1-3/4
3 0 ZHAN JIANG ROCKS Closed strongly TT J Moreira · W Y So 6 7.7 1-3/4
4 0 OWNERS' STAR Closed strongly B-/CP1/TT- M F Poon · C S Shum 10 41.0 4
5 0 RED IMPACT Closed strongly M L Yeung · D A Hayes 4 18.0 4-1/2
6 0 FAST PACE H N Callan · C Fownes 8 10.0 4-3/4
7 0 MANNA FROM HEAVEN XB M Chadwick · K L Man 1 7.4 4-3/4
8 0 MAXIMIZE HEART Closed strongly B-/CP1 K C Leung · C H Yip 12 23.0 5
9 0 THE MINT H/V/TT H Bentley · K H Ting 5 100.0 9-1/4
10 0 MOONLUCK CP Z Purton · K W Lui 9 14.0 12
11 0 GALACTIC B A Hamelin · A T Millard 3 12.0 13-3/4
12 0 WON BALL Led early TT H N Wong · P O'Sullivan 7 68.0 15

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2021-06-23 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. FA FA, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by F C Lor, won by 1-3/4, with ERNEST FEELING second and ZHAN JIANG ROCKS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.5 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. FA FA—2. ERNEST FEELING+1.75L3. ZHAN JIANG ROCKS+1.75L4. OWNERS' STAR+4L5. RED IMPACT+4.5L6. FAST PACE+4.75L7. MANNA FROM HEAVEN+4.75L8. MAXIMIZE HEART+5L9. THE MINT+9.25L10. MOONLUCK+12L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick FA FA (16.7%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 FA FA 16.7% 6.00 1
2 0 MANNA FROM HEAVEN 16.6% 6.03 7
3 0 ZHAN JIANG ROCKS 14.0% 7.12 3
4 0 ERNEST FEELING 11.9% 8.40 2
5 0 MOONLUCK 11.5% 8.67 10
6 0 GALACTIC 10.6% 9.40 11
7 0 FAST PACE 6.1% 16.49 6
8 0 OWNERS' STAR 3.9% 25.62 4
9 0 MAXIMIZE HEART 3.5% 28.37 8
10 0 WON BALL 2.4% 42.11 12
11 0 RED IMPACT 2.3% 43.27 5
12 0 THE MINT 0.5% 210.09 9
FA FA — wonMANNA FROM HEAVENZHAN JIANG ROCKSERNEST FEELINGMOONLUCKGALACTICFAST PACEOWNERS' STARMAXIMIZE HEARTWON BALLRED IMPACTTHE MINT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 25

PLACE

2 13.5

4 23.5

6 21

QUINELLA

2,6 98.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,4 42.5

2,6 41

4,6 75

FORECAST

2,6 213

TIERCE

2,6,4 859

TRIO

2,4,6 194

FIRST 4

2,4,6,8 1,293

QUARTET

2,6,4,8 14,681

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A1 19

A3 —

A2 —

5TH DOUBLE

9/2 123

9/6 72.5