跑馬地 · 2021-07-14
第 2場
2021-07-14跑馬地第2場，Class 5，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C Wong策騎、Y S Tsui訓練的SHANGHAI POWER勝出，贏出N。CHUNGHWA JINGSHEN獲得亞軍；WINNING WARRIOR獲得季軍。頭馬以3.9倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | SHANGHAI POWER B 0.56.97 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 2 | 3.9 | N |
| 2 | 8 | CHUNGHWA JINGSHEN B K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 11 | 7.5 | N |
| 3 | 12 | WINNING WARRIOR B V Borges · K L Man | V Borges | K L Man | 7 | 33.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 10 | FLYING MONKEY BO/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 8 | 5.3 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | E HONEY XB-/TT- J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 10 | 8.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | DR PROACTIVE V1 C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 5 | 9.5 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | KELMIMI WINS SR/XB/TT C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 4 | 18.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 7 | TELECOM MISSILE TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 3 | 4.1 | 5 |
| 9 | 2 | AFTER ME B H W Lai · D E Ferraris | H W Lai | D E Ferraris | 9 | 29.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 1 | GOOD LUCK MONEY B1 T Piccone · R Gibson | T Piccone | R Gibson | 12 | 99.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | BOND A STAR TT B Shinn · C H Yip | B Shinn | C H Yip | 1 | 26.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 4 | MULTIPLE STAR B/TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 6 | 192.0 | 11-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | TELECOM MISSILE | 25.8% | 3.87 | 8 |
| 2 | 3 | E HONEY | 22.1% | 4.53 | 5 |
| 3 | 11 | SHANGHAI POWER | 15.0% | 6.66 | 1 |
| 4 | 6 | DR PROACTIVE | 6.8% | 14.61 | 6 |
| 5 | 10 | FLYING MONKEY | 6.1% | 16.48 | 4 |
| 6 | 2 | AFTER ME | 5.9% | 16.92 | 9 |
| 7 | 9 | KELMIMI WINS | 5.7% | 17.62 | 7 |
| 8 | 8 | CHUNGHWA JINGSHEN | 5.1% | 19.68 | 2 |
| 9 | 12 | WINNING WARRIOR | 2.5% | 39.97 | 3 |
| 10 | 5 | BOND A STAR | 2.3% | 43.33 | 11 |
| 11 | 1 | GOOD LUCK MONEY | 2.0% | 49.43 | 10 |
| 12 | 4 | MULTIPLE STAR | 0.7% | 146.54 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 39.5
PLACE
8 25.5
11 16.5
12 75.5
QUINELLA
8,11 154
QUINELLA PLACE
8,11 59
8,12 297.5
11,12 165
FORECAST
11,8 268
TIERCE
11,8,12 3,628
TRIO
8,11,12 1,052
FIRST 4
8,10,11,12 1,169
QUARTET
11,8,12,10 23,208
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
9/8 39
9/11 234
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 22.5
A3 —