跑馬地 · 2021-07-14
第 4場
2021-07-14跑馬地第4場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C L Chau策騎、D J Whyte訓練的XPONENTIAL勝出，贏出1。FORTUNE HAPPINESS獲得亞軍；HAPPY PROFIT獲得季軍。3.5倍大熱門HAPPY PROFIT跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | XPONENTIAL SR-/B2/TT 1.09.18 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 10 | 13.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 10 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS B R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 9 | 93.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | HAPPY PROFIT CP1/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 2 | 3.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 3 | HERO STAR TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 7 | 5.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | HAPPY TIME TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 6 | 8.8 | 2 |
| 6 | 6 | GOOD SHOT XB H Bentley · D J Hall | H Bentley | D J Hall | 3 | 6.2 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | FLYING SWORD B/TT A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | 4 | 11.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 2 | DAILY BEAUTY B/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 8 | 10.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | SINCERE BOY B H T Mo · P O'Sullivan | H T Mo | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 205.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | MASTER OF FUN H2 T Piccone · C H Yip | T Piccone | C H Yip | 1 | 45.0 | 69-1/2 |
| — | 0 | SKY TREASURE H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | — | — | — |
| — | 1 | ISLAND SHINE B K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 11 | 6.0 | — |
| — | 7 | ARES C Schofield · F C Lor | C Schofield | F C Lor | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | HAPPY PROFIT | 30.9% | 3.24 | 3 |
| 2 | 3 | HERO STAR | 14.2% | 7.04 | 4 |
| 3 | 2 | DAILY BEAUTY | 13.6% | 7.36 | 8 |
| 4 | 6 | GOOD SHOT | 10.2% | 9.78 | 6 |
| 5 | 9 | XPONENTIAL | 10.1% | 9.92 | 1 |
| 6 | 5 | FLYING SWORD | 9.2% | 10.90 | 7 |
| 7 | 11 | HAPPY TIME | 6.8% | 14.74 | 5 |
| 8 | 12 | SINCERE BOY | 2.0% | 51.18 | 9 |
| 9 | 10 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS | 1.7% | 59.70 | 2 |
| 10 | 8 | MASTER OF FUN | 1.4% | 69.68 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 130.5
PLACE
4 16.5
9 36.5
10 193
QUINELLA
9,10 5,305.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,9 120
4,10 524.5
9,10 1,226.5
FORECAST
9,10 7,963
TIERCE
9,10,4 60,833
TRIO
4,9,10 7,749
FIRST 4
3,4,9,10 4,045
QUARTET
9,10,4,3 152,996
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 34
3RD DOUBLE
11/9 844.5
11/10 596