Happy Valley · 2021-07-14
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | XPONENTIAL SR-/B2/TT 1.09.18 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 10 | 13.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS B/BR R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 9 | 93.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | HAPPY PROFIT CP1/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 2 | 3.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | HERO STAR TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 7 | 5.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | HAPPY TIME TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 6 | 8.8 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | GOOD SHOT XB H Bentley · D J Hall | H Bentley | D J Hall | 3 | 6.2 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | FLYING SWORD B/TT A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | 4 | 11.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | DAILY BEAUTY B/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 8 | 10.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | SINCERE BOY B H T Mo · P O'Sullivan | H T Mo | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 205.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | MASTER OF FUN H2 T Piccone · C H Yip | T Piccone | C H Yip | 1 | 45.0 | 69-1/2 |
| — | 0 | ARES C Schofield · F C Lor | C Schofield | F C Lor | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | SKY TREASURE H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | ISLAND SHINE B K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 11 | 6.0 | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2021-07-14 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. XPONENTIAL, ridden by C L Chau and trained by D J Whyte, won by 1, with FORTUNE HAPPINESS second and HAPPY PROFIT third. The 3.5 favourite HAPPY PROFIT finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HAPPY PROFIT | 30.9% | 3.24 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | HERO STAR | 14.2% | 7.04 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | DAILY BEAUTY | 13.6% | 7.36 | 8 |
| 4 | 0 | GOOD SHOT | 10.2% | 9.78 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | XPONENTIAL | 10.1% | 9.92 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | FLYING SWORD | 9.2% | 10.90 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | HAPPY TIME | 6.8% | 14.74 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | SINCERE BOY | 2.0% | 51.18 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS | 1.7% | 59.70 | 2 |
| 10 | 0 | MASTER OF FUN | 1.4% | 69.68 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 130.5
PLACE
4 16.5
9 36.5
10 193
QUINELLA
9,10 5,305.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,9 120
4,10 524.5
9,10 1,226.5
FORECAST
9,10 7,963
TIERCE
9,10,4 60,833
TRIO
4,9,10 7,749
FIRST 4
3,4,9,10 4,045
QUARTET
9,10,4,3 152,996
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 34
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE
11/9 844.5
11/10 596