Happy Valley · 2021-07-14
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LEAP OF FAITH Closed strongly 1.47.91 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 10 | 3.1 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | EXCEPTIONAL NICE Led early E A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 4 | 7.2 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | INDICATIVE VOTE TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 1 | 7.1 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | KING OPIE B-/CP2 C Schofield · F C Lor | C Schofield | F C Lor | 6 | 50.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | SURREALISM Closed strongly B K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 7 | 7.7 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | CHANCHENG PRINCE XB/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 8 | 28.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | YOO YOO KING TT V Borges · K H Ting | V Borges | K H Ting | 2 | 49.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | GOLDEN SPECTRUM Closed strongly CP/H/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 11 | 5.4 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | SUPER BUDDY Closed strongly B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 12 | 75.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE T Piccone · C W Chang | T Piccone | C W Chang | 3 | 10.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | CINQUANTE CINQ R Maia · T P Yung | R Maia | T P Yung | 9 | 34.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | BUNDLE OF DELIGHT B C L Chau · D J Hall | C L Chau | D J Hall | 5 | 12.0 | 9 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2021-07-14 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. LEAP OF FAITH, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Size, won by 3, with EXCEPTIONAL NICE second and INDICATIVE VOTE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.1 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | EXCEPTIONAL NICE | 21.7% | 4.60 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | LEAP OF FAITH | 17.7% | 5.66 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | BUNDLE OF DELIGHT | 8.5% | 11.75 | 12 |
| 4 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE | 8.4% | 11.92 | 10 |
| 5 | 0 | GOLDEN SPECTRUM | 8.0% | 12.51 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | SURREALISM | 7.8% | 12.85 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | CHANCHENG PRINCE | 7.4% | 13.47 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | KING OPIE | 7.2% | 13.94 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | INDICATIVE VOTE | 3.9% | 25.33 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | YOO YOO KING | 3.8% | 26.01 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | CINQUANTE CINQ | 3.8% | 26.29 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | SUPER BUDDY | 1.8% | 56.86 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 31
PLACE
5 22
8 21.5
9 15.5
QUINELLA
8,9 119
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 78.5
5,9 51.5
8,9 46
FORECAST
9,8 173
TIERCE
9,8,5 1,111
TRIO
5,8,9 234
FIRST 4
2,5,8,9 2,186
QUARTET
9,8,5,2 26,717
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 20
5TH DOUBLE
11/8 57.5
11/9 300.5