Happy Valley · 2021-07-14
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RED IMPACT Closed strongly 1.39.06 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 2 | 6.5 | NOSE |
| 2 | 0 | LAND POWER B/TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 6 | 6.8 | NOSE |
| 3 | 0 | ZHAN JIANG ROCKS Closed strongly TT A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 12 | 12.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | CHARIZARD Closed strongly B/TT T Piccone · D E Ferraris | T Piccone | D E Ferraris | 11 | 17.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | SUPER FAST Closed strongly XB C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 10 | 7.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | SUN OF MAKFI Closed strongly XB C Schofield · D J Hall | C Schofield | D J Hall | 5 | 3.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | BLAZING BEAT Closed strongly XB R Maia · C W Chang | R Maia | C W Chang | 7 | 59.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | ON EXCEL STAR XB/B1 J Moreira · C H Yip | J Moreira | C H Yip | 9 | 6.2 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | CHEERFUL LEADER B-/XB K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 4 | 20.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | PRIME STAR Led early B/TT H T Mo · A T Millard | H T Mo | A T Millard | 3 | 70.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | MANNA FROM HEAVEN XB H Bentley · K L Man | H Bentley | K L Man | 8 | 17.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | STRIVE FOR GLORY TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 1 | 17.0 | 10 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2021-07-14 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. RED IMPACT, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by D A Hayes, won by NOSE, with LAND POWER second and ZHAN JIANG ROCKS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite SUN OF MAKFI finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ON EXCEL STAR | 20.7% | 4.84 | 8 |
| 2 | 0 | SUPER FAST | 18.9% | 5.29 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | SUN OF MAKFI | 13.9% | 7.21 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | LAND POWER | 10.7% | 9.35 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | MANNA FROM HEAVEN | 6.5% | 15.49 | 11 |
| 6 | 0 | STRIVE FOR GLORY | 5.4% | 18.38 | 12 |
| 7 | 0 | ZHAN JIANG ROCKS | 5.2% | 19.22 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | CHEERFUL LEADER | 4.9% | 20.58 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | RED IMPACT | 4.8% | 20.70 | 1 |
| 10 | 0 | CHARIZARD | 4.6% | 21.55 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | BLAZING BEAT | 2.7% | 37.27 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | PRIME STAR | 1.8% | 56.93 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 65
PLACE
5 23.5
6 36.5
11 24.5
QUINELLA
5,11 289
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 134
5,11 98.5
6,11 151.5
FORECAST
11,5 547
TIERCE
11,5,6 4,828
TRIO
5,6,11 1,286
FIRST 4
5,6,8,11 3,208
QUARTET
11,5,6,8 59,686
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
9,10>4,7/5,6,11 2,303,233
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 22
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE
9/5 230
9/11 1,218