Happy Valley · 2021-07-14
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HAPPILY FRIENDS V 1.08.60 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 1 | 5.6 | N |
| 2 | 0 | LORIZ B2 A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 5 | 5.6 | N |
| 3 | 0 | AMIGOS GIGGLE B1 K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 3 | 5.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | MONSTER KAKA TT B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 7 | 9.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | CASA DE FORCA B V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 9 | 58.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | ICE LEGEND H/B1/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 8 | 4.2 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | MOST WELCOME BO C Schofield · D A Hayes | C Schofield | D A Hayes | 11 | 9.4 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | TOP ACCOLADE TT C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 2 | 89.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | SO AWESOME B-/XB H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 12 | 19.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | SUPERB DADDY B2/TT T Piccone · D E Ferraris | T Piccone | D E Ferraris | 4 | 7.9 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | ORION PATCH PC- R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 6 | 164.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | TOP MILITARY B H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 10 | 119.0 | 16-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2021-07-14 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. HAPPILY FRIENDS, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K H Ting, won by N, with LORIZ second and AMIGOS GIGGLE third. The 4.2 favourite ICE LEGEND finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ICE LEGEND | 18.7% | 5.35 | 6 |
| 2 | 0 | AMIGOS GIGGLE | 18.1% | 5.52 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | HAPPILY FRIENDS | 17.8% | 5.63 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | LORIZ | 9.8% | 10.25 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | SUPERB DADDY | 8.3% | 12.11 | 10 |
| 6 | 0 | MOST WELCOME | 8.1% | 12.30 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | SO AWESOME | 7.3% | 13.74 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | MONSTER KAKA | 6.6% | 15.21 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | CASA DE FORCA | 2.0% | 49.43 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | TOP MILITARY | 1.4% | 72.26 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | ORION PATCH | 1.3% | 79.84 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | TOP ACCOLADE | 0.8% | 126.93 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 56.5
PLACE
4 19
6 18.5
11 18
QUINELLA
6,11 158.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 61
4,11 45.5
6,11 55.5
FORECAST
11,6 261
TIERCE
11,6,4 1,185
TRIO
4,6,11 252
FIRST 4
4,6,7,11 453
QUARTET
11,6,4,7 8,983
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
11/6 56
11/11 129.5
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 24
A3 —