Happy Valley · 2021-07-14
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2021-07-14 was Class 2 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. HELENE WISDOM STAR, ridden by N Callan and trained by A S Cruz, won by SH, with TELECOM FIGHTERS second and HALL OF CHAMP third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.6 favourite GIFT OF LIFELINE finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | HELENE WISDOM STAR Closed strongly H/TT 1.38.84 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 6 | 8.1 | SH |
| 2 | 8 | TELECOM FIGHTERS Led early T Piccone · Y S Tsui | T Piccone | Y S Tsui | 8 | 5.1 | SH |
| 3 | 11 | HALL OF CHAMP Closed strongly TT K C Leung · C Fownes | K C Leung | C Fownes | 10 | 9.3 | HD |
| 4 | 10 | GIFT OF LIFELINE Closed strongly B K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 3 | 4.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | MAGNIFICENT H T Mo · K H Ting | H T Mo | K H Ting | 7 | 20.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | FLAGSHIP GLORY TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 11 | 4.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | KASI FARASI C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 1 | 41.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | BEAUTY FIT Closed strongly E J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 12 | 6.6 | 3 |
| 9 | 5 | HOLY HEART PC/TT H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 4 | 30.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | LAKESHORE EAGLE Closed strongly V/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 2 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | LOBO'S LEGEND V Borges · P O'Sullivan | V Borges | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 106.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 3 | GREEN LASER A Hamelin · D E Ferraris | A Hamelin | D E Ferraris | 9 | 181.0 | 7-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | BEAUTY FIT | 30.6% | 3.27 | 8 |
| 2 | 8 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 13.8% | 7.27 | 2 |
| 3 | 10 | GIFT OF LIFELINE | 11.9% | 8.39 | 4 |
| 4 | 1 | FLAGSHIP GLORY | 10.2% | 9.80 | 6 |
| 5 | 4 | LAKESHORE EAGLE | 7.4% | 13.46 | 10 |
| 6 | 9 | HELENE WISDOM STAR | 6.4% | 15.73 | 1 |
| 7 | 11 | HALL OF CHAMP | 5.9% | 17.00 | 3 |
| 8 | 12 | KASI FARASI | 4.6% | 21.64 | 7 |
| 9 | 5 | HOLY HEART | 3.4% | 29.51 | 9 |
| 10 | 7 | MAGNIFICENT | 3.0% | 33.90 | 5 |
| 11 | 6 | LOBO'S LEGEND | 2.4% | 41.56 | 11 |
| 12 | 3 | GREEN LASER | 0.5% | 201.58 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 81.5
PLACE
8 18
9 25
11 29.5
QUINELLA
8,9 192
QUINELLA PLACE
8,9 77.5
8,11 82
9,11 128
FORECAST
9,8 492
TIERCE
9,8,11 3,287
TRIO
8,9,11 531
FIRST 4
8,9,10,11 439
QUARTET
9,8,11,10 11,640
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 30
7TH DOUBLE
9/8 112.5
9/9 850.5