Happy Valley · 2021-07-14
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SUCCESS ALLSTARS Closed strongly B 1.48.33 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 9 | 5.4 | HD |
| 2 | 0 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE Closed strongly B C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 10 | 7.6 | HD |
| 3 | 0 | SHINEALOT Closed strongly V Borges · P O'Sullivan | V Borges | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | GENERAL DINO Closed strongly B H W Lai · D J Whyte | H W Lai | D J Whyte | 3 | 6.6 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | GRAND POWER Led early B T Piccone · C W Chang | T Piccone | C W Chang | 1 | 107.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | PERFECT TO PLAY Closed strongly XB J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 8 | 3.8 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS WIN B H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 4 | 5.5 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | SHANGHAI GRACE B-/H- C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 12 | 24.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | HAY RUN Closed strongly V/XB2/TT- K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 7 | 17.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | GOLD 'N' BOLD V/TT A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 2 | 29.0 | 19 |
| 11 | 0 | LIGHT MY DAY CP-/B2/TT B Shinn · C H Yip | B Shinn | C H Yip | 11 | 37.0 | 20-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | VIRTUS STAR TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 6 | 17.0 | 36 |
| — | 0 | EVEN KEEL H T Mo · A T Millard | H T Mo | A T Millard | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2021-07-14 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SUCCESS ALLSTARS, ridden by K Teetan and trained by D E Ferraris, won by HD, with WEALTHY EMPLOYEE second and SHINEALOT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite PERFECT TO PLAY finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS WIN | 19.5% | 5.12 | 7 |
| 2 | 0 | PERFECT TO PLAY | 17.5% | 5.72 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | SHINEALOT | 10.7% | 9.30 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | HAY RUN | 9.5% | 10.54 | 9 |
| 5 | 0 | GENERAL DINO | 9.3% | 10.70 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | SUCCESS ALLSTARS | 8.2% | 12.17 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | GOLD 'N' BOLD | 6.9% | 14.53 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE | 5.0% | 19.98 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | SHANGHAI GRACE | 4.2% | 23.65 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | VIRTUS STAR | 3.9% | 25.96 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | LIGHT MY DAY | 3.8% | 26.07 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | GRAND POWER | 1.4% | 71.95 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 54.5
PLACE
9 17.5
10 38
11 26
QUINELLA
9,11 199
QUINELLA PLACE
9,10 110
9,11 76.5
10,11 154
FORECAST
9,11 412
TIERCE
9,11,10 2,499
TRIO
9,10,11 703
FIRST 4
9,10,11,12 788
QUARTET
9,11,10,12 16,063
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 24
A1 —