沙田 · 2021-09-12
第 9場
2021-09-12沙田第9場，Class 2，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由B Shinn策騎、D A Hayes訓練的SUPER WEALTHY勝出，贏出N。HONG KONG WIN獲得亞軍；WINNER METHOD獲得季軍。2.3倍大熱門WINNER METHOD跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SUPER WEALTHY CP-/H-/XB- 0.55.70 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 5 | 8.8 | N |
| 2 | 4 | HONG KONG WIN J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 11 | 14.0 | N |
| 3 | 10 | WINNER METHOD TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 2 | 2.3 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 11 | WE THE SOUTH H/XB V Borges · F C Lor | V Borges | F C Lor | 1 | 90.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | TRILLION WIN CP A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 7 | 3.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 5 | LUCKY MORE Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 10 | 11.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | PRIVATE ROCKET SR/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 8 | 26.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | VALIANT DREAM C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 1 | PING HAI BRAVO E/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 9 | 32.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | GOLD CHEST CP/TT C Schofield · R Gibson | C Schofield | R Gibson | 4 | 12.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | CZARSON CP/TT H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 3 | 101.0 | 6-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | WINNER METHOD | 34.2% | 2.92 | 3 |
| 2 | 7 | TRILLION WIN | 18.1% | 5.54 | 5 |
| 3 | 4 | HONG KONG WIN | 10.6% | 9.46 | 2 |
| 4 | 5 | LUCKY MORE | 6.7% | 14.87 | 6 |
| 5 | 6 | GOLD CHEST | 5.5% | 18.04 | 10 |
| 6 | 2 | SUPER WEALTHY | 5.0% | 19.84 | 1 |
| 7 | 3 | VALIANT DREAM | 4.4% | 22.80 | 8 |
| 8 | 9 | PRIVATE ROCKET | 4.4% | 22.98 | 7 |
| 9 | 1 | PING HAI BRAVO | 4.3% | 23.27 | 9 |
| 10 | 8 | CZARSON | 4.1% | 24.39 | 11 |
| 11 | 11 | WE THE SOUTH | 2.7% | 36.69 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 88.5
PLACE
2 25
4 36.5
10 12
QUINELLA
2,4 774.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 175.5
2,10 43.5
4,10 59.5
FORECAST
2,4 1,669
TIERCE
2,4,10 5,054
TRIO
2,4,10 460
FIRST 4
2,4,10,11 5,068
QUARTET
2,4,10,11 171,253
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 35.5
A1 —
A3 —
8TH DOUBLE
9/2 251.5
9/4 92.5