沙田 · 2021-09-12
第 8場
2021-09-12沙田第8場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C Schofield策騎、K H Ting訓練的GLUCK RACER勝出，贏出1-3/4。IMA SINGLE MAN獲得亞軍；LOCKHEED獲得季軍。2.8倍大熱門IMA SINGLE MAN跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | GLUCK RACER V 1.08.39 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 1 | 2.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 2 | IMA SINGLE MAN B/H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 8 | 2.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 3 | LOCKHEED B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 12 | 16.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 12 | PROUD DRAGON L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 10 | 20.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | JOLLY GOOD HEART A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 2 | 12.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | POWER KOEPP E J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 14 | 40.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 13 | TRUST ME H M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 7 | 16.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 14 | CHEERFUL DAYS B H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 13 | 48.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 1 | BIG FORTUNE B/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 11 | 15.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 6 | IAN C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 5 | 15.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | SKY FOREVER TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 9 | 30.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 7 | ABLE REIGN B1 B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 3 | 23.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 4 | STOCK LEGEND H/TT R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 6 | 61.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 14 | 5 | WIND SPEEDER B H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 4 | 171.0 | 10 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | GLUCK RACER | 26.4% | 3.78 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | IMA SINGLE MAN | 16.2% | 6.18 | 2 |
| 3 | 8 | JOLLY GOOD HEART | 11.9% | 8.43 | 5 |
| 4 | 3 | LOCKHEED | 8.6% | 11.66 | 3 |
| 5 | 1 | BIG FORTUNE | 7.0% | 14.34 | 9 |
| 6 | 13 | TRUST ME | 6.2% | 16.25 | 7 |
| 7 | 10 | POWER KOEPP | 4.9% | 20.38 | 6 |
| 8 | 6 | IAN | 4.8% | 20.88 | 10 |
| 9 | 4 | STOCK LEGEND | 3.3% | 30.05 | 13 |
| 10 | 12 | PROUD DRAGON | 2.9% | 34.40 | 4 |
| 11 | 7 | ABLE REIGN | 2.6% | 38.36 | 12 |
| 12 | 14 | CHEERFUL DAYS | 2.5% | 39.84 | 8 |
| 13 | 11 | SKY FOREVER | 2.2% | 45.37 | 11 |
| 14 | 5 | WIND SPEEDER | 0.6% | 178.16 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 29.5
PLACE
2 13
3 39.5
9 13.5
QUINELLA
2,9 41
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 69.5
2,9 20.5
3,9 84
FORECAST
9,2 74
TIERCE
9,2,3 676
TRIO
2,3,9 142
FIRST 4
2,3,9,12 791
QUARTET
9,2,3,12 7,600
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 14.5
7TH DOUBLE
7/2 70.5
7/9 401.5