沙田 · 2021-09-19
第 6場
2021-09-19沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Hamelin策騎、C H Yip訓練的SOLAR POWER勝出，贏出2-3/4。SUNNY BABY獲得亞軍；KUNG FU TEA獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。2.9倍大熱門BEAUTY SPIRIT跑獲第13名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | SOLAR POWER 一路領先 1.21.18 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 14 | 5.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 2 | 13 | SUNNY BABY 後段發力 M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 4 | 12.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 3 | 12 | KUNG FU TEA 後段發力 B K C Leung · D J Hall | K C Leung | D J Hall | 7 | 9.6 | 3 |
| 4 | 7 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE 後段發力 TT K Teetan · R Gibson | K Teetan | R Gibson | 12 | 16.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | COUNTRY BOY H/P/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 13 | 48.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | NOBLE STEED 後段發力 B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 40.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | FLYING VICTORY H/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 5 | 6.8 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 9 | THE JOLLY 後段發力 XB/CP1 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 11 | 49.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | EMERALD SPUR 後段發力 B/TT- M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 10 | 13.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | YOUNG THUNDER CP/TT M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 1 | 130.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | SWIFT SPIRIT R Maia · C W Chang | R Maia | C W Chang | 2 | 9.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 14 | TELECOM ELITE H H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 3 | 40.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 5 | BEAUTY SPIRIT B/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 6 | 2.9 | 8 |
| — | 1 | ENCOURAGED L Ferraris · K L Man | L Ferraris | K L Man | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BEAUTY SPIRIT | 22.2% | 4.50 | 13 |
| 2 | 6 | FLYING VICTORY | 17.3% | 5.78 | 7 |
| 3 | 8 | SWIFT SPIRIT | 10.0% | 9.98 | 11 |
| 4 | 10 | SOLAR POWER | 8.8% | 11.31 | 1 |
| 5 | 11 | COUNTRY BOY | 7.6% | 13.10 | 5 |
| 6 | 12 | KUNG FU TEA | 7.5% | 13.33 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | THE JOLLY | 5.7% | 17.66 | 8 |
| 8 | 7 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE | 4.9% | 20.52 | 4 |
| 9 | 3 | EMERALD SPUR | 3.8% | 26.30 | 9 |
| 10 | 14 | TELECOM ELITE | 3.5% | 28.29 | 12 |
| 11 | 13 | SUNNY BABY | 3.3% | 30.33 | 2 |
| 12 | 2 | NOBLE STEED | 3.3% | 30.45 | 6 |
| 13 | 4 | YOUNG THUNDER | 2.0% | 48.91 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 52.5
PLACE
10 18
12 30
13 32
QUINELLA
10,13 321.5
QUINELLA PLACE
10,12 65
10,13 101
12,13 160.5
FORECAST
10,13 630
TIERCE
10,13,12 3,786
TRIO
10,12,13 1,076
FIRST 4
7,10,12,13 3,062
QUARTET
10,13,12,7 57,085
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 21.5
A1 —
5TH DOUBLE
4/10 396
4/13 68
TRIPLE TRIO
4,9,12/1,2,4/10,12,13 6,441,034
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
4,9,12/1,2,4/Any Combination 7,816