沙田 · 2021-09-19
第 4場
2021-09-19沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由M Chadwick策騎、C H Yip訓練的HAPPY TIME勝出，贏出NOSE。KING OF THE COURT獲得亞軍；LUCKY MARYKNOLL獲得季軍。3.7倍大熱門LUCKY MARYKNOLL跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | HAPPY TIME TT 1.08.81 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 10 | 11.0 | NOSE |
| 2 | 4 | KING OF THE COURT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 5 | 4.6 | NOSE |
| 3 | 9 | LUCKY MARYKNOLL TT R Maia · D A Hayes | R Maia | D A Hayes | 1 | 3.7 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | COURAGEOUS KNIGHT B/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 9 | 9.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | MY ECSTATIC TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 4 | 5.1 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 11 | MOON PEAKS B/H H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 2 | 8.1 | 5 |
| 7 | 5 | HAPPY DAILY CP K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 3 | 43.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 6 | TREASURE OF FIELD C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 11 | 22.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | DAILY BEAUTY B/TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 6 | 84.0 | 10 |
| 10 | 7 | TOUCH FAITH B J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 7 | 8.5 | 10-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | MEGA BONUS B-/XB H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 8 | 42.0 | 14-3/4 |
| 12 | 10 | HONEY BEE CP-/B1/TT V Borges · K L Man | V Borges | K L Man | 12 | 175.0 | 28-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | MY ECSTATIC | 23.5% | 4.25 | 5 |
| 2 | 9 | LUCKY MARYKNOLL | 21.5% | 4.64 | 3 |
| 3 | 7 | TOUCH FAITH | 16.4% | 6.09 | 10 |
| 4 | 11 | MOON PEAKS | 7.3% | 13.73 | 6 |
| 5 | 2 | COURAGEOUS KNIGHT | 6.9% | 14.42 | 4 |
| 6 | 4 | KING OF THE COURT | 5.9% | 16.94 | 2 |
| 7 | 12 | HAPPY TIME | 4.8% | 20.73 | 1 |
| 8 | 5 | HAPPY DAILY | 4.2% | 23.77 | 7 |
| 9 | 6 | TREASURE OF FIELD | 3.9% | 25.85 | 8 |
| 10 | 3 | DAILY BEAUTY | 2.6% | 38.77 | 9 |
| 11 | 8 | MEGA BONUS | 2.3% | 44.20 | 11 |
| 12 | 10 | HONEY BEE | 0.6% | 154.81 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 118.5
PLACE
4 19
9 16
12 31
QUINELLA
4,12 234.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,9 47
4,12 94
9,12 85
FORECAST
12,4 673
TIERCE
12,4,9 3,328
TRIO
4,9,12 402
FIRST 4
2,4,9,12 846
QUARTET
12,4,9,2 30,264
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,11,12/4,9,12 26,954
3 PICK 1
A3 34
A2 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
11/4 50
11/12 905.5