Sha Tin · 2021-09-19
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HAPPY TIME TT 1.08.81 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 10 | 11.0 | NOSE |
| 2 | 0 | KING OF THE COURT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 5 | 4.6 | NOSE |
| 3 | 0 | LUCKY MARYKNOLL TT R Maia · D A Hayes | R Maia | D A Hayes | 1 | 3.7 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | COURAGEOUS KNIGHT B/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 9 | 9.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | MY ECSTATIC TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 4 | 5.1 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | MOON PEAKS B/H H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 2 | 8.1 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | HAPPY DAILY CP K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 3 | 43.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | TREASURE OF FIELD C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 11 | 22.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | DAILY BEAUTY B/TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 6 | 84.0 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | TOUCH FAITH B J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 7 | 8.5 | 10-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | MEGA BONUS B-/XB H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 8 | 42.0 | 14-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | HONEY BEE CP-/B1/TT V Borges · K L Man | V Borges | K L Man | 12 | 175.0 | 28-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2021-09-19 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. HAPPY TIME, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by C H Yip, won by NOSE, with KING OF THE COURT second and LUCKY MARYKNOLL third. The 3.7 favourite LUCKY MARYKNOLL finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MY ECSTATIC | 23.5% | 4.25 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | LUCKY MARYKNOLL | 21.5% | 4.64 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | TOUCH FAITH | 16.4% | 6.09 | 10 |
| 4 | 0 | MOON PEAKS | 7.3% | 13.73 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | COURAGEOUS KNIGHT | 6.9% | 14.42 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | KING OF THE COURT | 5.9% | 16.94 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | HAPPY TIME | 4.8% | 20.73 | 1 |
| 8 | 0 | HAPPY DAILY | 4.2% | 23.77 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | TREASURE OF FIELD | 3.9% | 25.85 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | DAILY BEAUTY | 2.6% | 38.77 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | MEGA BONUS | 2.3% | 44.20 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | HONEY BEE | 0.6% | 154.81 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 118.5
PLACE
4 19
9 16
12 31
QUINELLA
4,12 234.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,9 47
4,12 94
9,12 85
FORECAST
12,4 673
TIERCE
12,4,9 3,328
TRIO
4,9,12 402
FIRST 4
2,4,9,12 846
QUARTET
12,4,9,2 30,264
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,11,12/4,9,12 26,954
3 PICK 1
A3 34
A1 —
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE
11/4 50
11/12 905.5