Sha Tin · 2021-09-19
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DECISIVE ACTION Closed strongly CP/TT 1.34.04 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 2 | 4.1 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | SPEED FAY FAY Led early B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 11 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | PARTY EVERYDAY H/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 9 | 8.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | ROBOT WARRIOR Closed strongly B K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 3 | 6.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | COPARTNER ERA Closed strongly B V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 7 | 16.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | TAILOR MADE TT K C Leung · C Fownes | K C Leung | C Fownes | 1 | 8.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | CHEERFUL LEADER XB/B2 C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 4 | 15.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | FREE FOAL M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 10 | 6.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | DRAGON COMMANDER Closed strongly B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 5 | 12.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | SUPER ELEGANCE B/TT C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 8 | 17.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | HAPPY WIN WIN P-/TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 6 | 29.0 | 10-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2021-09-19 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. DECISIVE ACTION, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C S Shum, won by 3/4, with SPEED FAY FAY second and PARTY EVERYDAY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.1 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ROBOT WARRIOR | 15.9% | 6.29 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | FREE FOAL | 14.3% | 6.99 | 8 |
| 3 | 0 | PARTY EVERYDAY | 14.1% | 7.09 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | TAILOR MADE | 13.4% | 7.47 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | DECISIVE ACTION | 12.0% | 8.31 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | DRAGON COMMANDER | 7.8% | 12.83 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | SPEED FAY FAY | 7.6% | 13.24 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | SUPER ELEGANCE | 5.0% | 19.83 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | COPARTNER ERA | 4.8% | 20.84 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | CHEERFUL LEADER | 2.6% | 38.57 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | HAPPY WIN WIN | 2.5% | 40.13 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 41
PLACE
1 24.5
2 31.5
4 18
QUINELLA
2,4 195.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 196.5
1,4 92.5
2,4 72
FORECAST
4,2 531
TIERCE
4,2,1 3,829
TRIO
1,2,4 839
FIRST 4
1,2,4,6 762
QUARTET
4,2,1,6 15,895
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 24.5
A3 —
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
12/2 233.5
12/4 596