Sha Tin · 2021-09-19
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2021-09-19 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. ENTRUSTED, ridden by A Badel and trained by W Y So, won by 1-1/4, with ENZEMBLE second and CHEVALIER PRINCE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.0 favourite LEAP OF FAITH finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | ENTRUSTED Closed strongly CP/TT 1.33.99 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 10 | 7.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 5 | ENZEMBLE H-/XB Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 9 | 18.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 9 | CHEVALIER PRINCE Closed strongly V-/CP2 M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 4 | 13.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | SOULMATE Led early M L Yeung · P F Yiu | M L Yeung | P F Yiu | 6 | 4.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | LEAP OF FAITH J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 2 | 2.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 1 | CALIFORNIA TEN Closed strongly B/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 7 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | ABOVE B/TT K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 1 | 17.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | MR ALDAN B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 8 | 20.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 3 | ARTHUR'S KINGDOM H/XB C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 3 | 63.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | GREEN LASER B1 L Ferraris · D E Ferraris | L Ferraris | D E Ferraris | 5 | 120.0 | 8 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | LEAP OF FAITH | 42.2% | 2.37 | 5 |
| 2 | 6 | ABOVE | 12.6% | 7.95 | 7 |
| 3 | 1 | CALIFORNIA TEN | 9.9% | 10.07 | 6 |
| 4 | 5 | ENZEMBLE | 7.7% | 13.05 | 2 |
| 5 | 8 | ENTRUSTED | 7.4% | 13.51 | 1 |
| 6 | 9 | CHEVALIER PRINCE | 6.4% | 15.71 | 3 |
| 7 | 10 | SOULMATE | 5.5% | 18.27 | 4 |
| 8 | 7 | MR ALDAN | 4.9% | 20.26 | 8 |
| 9 | 3 | ARTHUR'S KINGDOM | 2.6% | 38.49 | 9 |
| 10 | 2 | GREEN LASER | 0.8% | 122.37 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 73
PLACE
5 43.5
8 23
9 33.5
QUINELLA
5,8 614
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 132.5
5,9 225
8,9 104.5
FORECAST
8,5 1,120
TIERCE
8,5,9 8,652
TRIO
5,8,9 1,406
FIRST 4
5,8,9,10 1,373
QUARTET
8,5,9,10 40,305
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
10,12,13/5,8,9 183,737
3 PICK 1
A2 33.5
A3 —
A1 —
6TH DOUBLE
10/5 187
10/8 657