Sha Tin · 2021-09-19
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2021-09-19 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. DRAGON FORTUNE, ridden by J Moreira and trained by F C Lor, won by 1-3/4, with HALL OF CHAMP second and TEMPEST EXPRESS third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 3.4 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | DRAGON FORTUNE Wire to wire TT 1.21.86 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 2 | 3.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 2 | HALL OF CHAMP Closed strongly TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 3 | 4.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 3 | TEMPEST EXPRESS Closed strongly E/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 10 | 21.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 5 | TIANCHI MONSTER A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 1 | 16.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | CHARITY GRACE Closed strongly B/XB1 M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 5 | 7.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | STAR PERFORMANCE B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 9 | 7.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 1 | SUPER OASIS B2 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 12.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | HORSESAIN BOLT Closed strongly B/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 8 | 7.8 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | KASI FARASI Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 12 | 48.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | HAPPY LAND XB1/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 6 | 60.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 10 | SPLENDID LIVING T Piccone · P F Yiu | T Piccone | P F Yiu | 7 | 17.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | HELENE ALLIBOR CP M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 13 | 46.0 | 6-3/4 |
| — | 11 | PERFECT PAIR Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | DRAGON FORTUNE | 33.6% | 2.97 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | HORSESAIN BOLT | 17.1% | 5.84 | 8 |
| 3 | 9 | CHARITY GRACE | 9.9% | 10.10 | 5 |
| 4 | 2 | HALL OF CHAMP | 9.2% | 10.93 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | TEMPEST EXPRESS | 7.1% | 14.04 | 3 |
| 6 | 1 | SUPER OASIS | 7.0% | 14.29 | 7 |
| 7 | 6 | STAR PERFORMANCE | 6.6% | 15.09 | 6 |
| 8 | 4 | HELENE ALLIBOR | 2.5% | 40.78 | 12 |
| 9 | 8 | KASI FARASI | 2.1% | 47.11 | 9 |
| 10 | 5 | TIANCHI MONSTER | 2.1% | 48.43 | 4 |
| 11 | 12 | HAPPY LAND | 1.6% | 62.88 | 10 |
| 12 | 10 | SPLENDID LIVING | 1.2% | 82.95 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
13 34
PLACE
2 17
3 69.5
13 17
QUINELLA
2,13 86.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 227
2,13 38
3,13 159
FORECAST
13,2 179
TIERCE
13,2,3 3,051
TRIO
2,3,13 857
FIRST 4
2,3,5,13 1,696
QUARTET
13,2,3,5 22,134
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 19.5
A1 —
8TH DOUBLE
4/2 151.5
4/11,13 612