Sha Tin · 2021-09-19
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2021-09-19 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. SOLAR POWER, ridden by A Hamelin and trained by C H Yip, won by 2-3/4, with SUNNY BABY second and KUNG FU TEA third. The winner led throughout. The 2.9 favourite BEAUTY SPIRIT finished 13th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | SOLAR POWER Wire to wire 1.21.18 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 14 | 5.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 2 | 13 | SUNNY BABY Closed strongly M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 4 | 12.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 3 | 12 | KUNG FU TEA Closed strongly B K C Leung · D J Hall | K C Leung | D J Hall | 7 | 9.6 | 3 |
| 4 | 7 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE Closed strongly TT K Teetan · R Gibson | K Teetan | R Gibson | 12 | 16.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | COUNTRY BOY H/P/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 13 | 48.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | NOBLE STEED Closed strongly B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 40.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | FLYING VICTORY H/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 5 | 6.8 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 9 | THE JOLLY Closed strongly XB/CP1 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 11 | 49.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | EMERALD SPUR Closed strongly B/TT- M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 10 | 13.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | YOUNG THUNDER CP/TT M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 1 | 130.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | SWIFT SPIRIT R Maia · C W Chang | R Maia | C W Chang | 2 | 9.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 14 | TELECOM ELITE H H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 3 | 40.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 5 | BEAUTY SPIRIT B/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 6 | 2.9 | 8 |
| — | 1 | ENCOURAGED L Ferraris · K L Man | L Ferraris | K L Man | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BEAUTY SPIRIT | 22.2% | 4.50 | 13 |
| 2 | 6 | FLYING VICTORY | 17.3% | 5.78 | 7 |
| 3 | 8 | SWIFT SPIRIT | 10.0% | 9.98 | 11 |
| 4 | 10 | SOLAR POWER | 8.8% | 11.31 | 1 |
| 5 | 11 | COUNTRY BOY | 7.6% | 13.10 | 5 |
| 6 | 12 | KUNG FU TEA | 7.5% | 13.33 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | THE JOLLY | 5.7% | 17.66 | 8 |
| 8 | 7 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE | 4.9% | 20.52 | 4 |
| 9 | 3 | EMERALD SPUR | 3.8% | 26.30 | 9 |
| 10 | 14 | TELECOM ELITE | 3.5% | 28.29 | 12 |
| 11 | 13 | SUNNY BABY | 3.3% | 30.33 | 2 |
| 12 | 2 | NOBLE STEED | 3.3% | 30.45 | 6 |
| 13 | 4 | YOUNG THUNDER | 2.0% | 48.91 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 52.5
PLACE
10 18
12 30
13 32
QUINELLA
10,13 321.5
QUINELLA PLACE
10,12 65
10,13 101
12,13 160.5
FORECAST
10,13 630
TIERCE
10,13,12 3,786
TRIO
10,12,13 1,076
FIRST 4
7,10,12,13 3,062
QUARTET
10,13,12,7 57,085
All pools (4 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 21.5
A1 —
5TH DOUBLE
4/10 396
4/13 68
TRIPLE TRIO
4,9,12/1,2,4/10,12,13 6,441,034
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
4,9,12/1,2,4/Any Combination 7,816