Sha Tin · 2021-09-19
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2021-09-19 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. NAMJONG SINGS, ridden by A Badel and trained by C S Shum, won by SH, with CALIFORNIA CIBLE second and ELIGERE third. The 2.3 favourite DROPS OF GOD finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | NAMJONG SINGS B 1.08.87 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 7 | 18.0 | SH |
| 2 | 8 | CALIFORNIA CIBLE TT1 M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 1 | 7.4 | SH |
| 3 | 7 | ELIGERE B K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 4 | 38.0 | N |
| 4 | 6 | STAR OF YUEN LONG B Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 5 | 4.6 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | DROPS OF GOD J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 11 | 2.3 | 1 |
| 6 | 9 | COPARTNER AMBITION CP/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 9 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 10 | JADE PHOENIX B K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 3 | 6.7 | 4 |
| 8 | 5 | BABY B V Borges · K H Ting | V Borges | K H Ting | 8 | 99.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 1 | EQUALETTA BLITZ H-/B/XB1 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 6 | 12.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | STAR OF GLORY H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 2 | 299.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | THE HULK L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 10 | 44.0 | 44 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | DROPS OF GOD | 51.7% | 1.93 | 5 |
| 2 | 10 | JADE PHOENIX | 12.6% | 7.91 | 7 |
| 3 | 9 | COPARTNER AMBITION | 7.3% | 13.61 | 6 |
| 4 | 6 | STAR OF YUEN LONG | 6.3% | 15.81 | 4 |
| 5 | 4 | NAMJONG SINGS | 6.1% | 16.33 | 1 |
| 6 | 1 | EQUALETTA BLITZ | 4.8% | 20.76 | 9 |
| 7 | 2 | THE HULK | 3.9% | 25.73 | 11 |
| 8 | 7 | ELIGERE | 2.9% | 34.36 | 3 |
| 9 | 8 | CALIFORNIA CIBLE | 2.5% | 39.61 | 2 |
| 10 | 5 | BABY | 1.2% | 81.68 | 8 |
| 11 | 11 | STAR OF GLORY | 0.5% | 204.65 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 182.5
PLACE
4 38
7 65
8 21
QUINELLA
4,8 593.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 299
4,8 164
7,8 352
FORECAST
4,8 1,071
TIERCE
4,8,7 21,989
TRIO
4,7,8 3,479
FIRST 4
4,6,7,8 3,379
QUARTET
4,8,7,6 101,188
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 47.5
A2 —
7TH DOUBLE
8/4 1,365.5
8/8 168.5