沙田 · 2021-09-19
第 2場
2021-09-19沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由C L Chau策騎、R Gibson訓練的CORDYCEPS SIX勝出，贏出1-1/4。SMART IDEA獲得亞軍；KOWLOON EAST STAR獲得季軍。2.2倍大熱門GLENEALY GENERALS跑獲第10名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CORDYCEPS SIX B 0.56.29 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · R Gibson | C L Chau | R Gibson | 10 | 8.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 9 | SMART IDEA H1/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 4 | 17.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 4 | KOWLOON EAST STAR H R Maia · K H Ting | R Maia | K H Ting | 6 | 112.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | CARRY THE DIAMOND PC M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 5 | 30.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS B A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 3 | 16.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | FOXHUNTER WAY H C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 12 | 101.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | MASTER AQUA Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 7 | 3.8 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | SPARTAN MISSILE L Ferraris · D E Ferraris | L Ferraris | D E Ferraris | 8 | 54.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 8 | CIRCUIT SEVEN B/H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 9 | 8.6 | 5 |
| 10 | 11 | GLENEALY GENERALS B J Moreira · C H Yip | J Moreira | C H Yip | 13 | 2.2 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 13 | WIN TECH C Wong · P O'Sullivan | C Wong | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 152.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | G ONE EXCELLENT SR-/CP1/TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 11 | 15.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 13 | 3 | ISLAND SURPRISE B1 K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 1 | 78.0 | 13 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | MASTER AQUA | 24.6% | 4.06 | 7 |
| 2 | 11 | GLENEALY GENERALS | 14.0% | 7.13 | 10 |
| 3 | 9 | SMART IDEA | 12.8% | 7.81 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | CORDYCEPS SIX | 10.5% | 9.50 | 1 |
| 5 | 12 | CARRY THE DIAMOND | 7.3% | 13.78 | 4 |
| 6 | 2 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS | 6.9% | 14.51 | 5 |
| 7 | 8 | CIRCUIT SEVEN | 6.1% | 16.47 | 9 |
| 8 | 6 | SPARTAN MISSILE | 4.8% | 20.79 | 8 |
| 9 | 10 | G ONE EXCELLENT | 4.2% | 23.57 | 12 |
| 10 | 3 | ISLAND SURPRISE | 4.0% | 25.10 | 13 |
| 11 | 7 | FOXHUNTER WAY | 2.1% | 47.83 | 6 |
| 12 | 13 | WIN TECH | 1.9% | 51.37 | 11 |
| 13 | 4 | KOWLOON EAST STAR | 0.7% | 135.61 | 3 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 87
PLACE
1 22.5
4 200.5
9 42.5
QUINELLA
1,9 576
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 815
1,9 153
4,9 1,429.5
FORECAST
1,9 1,044
TIERCE
1,9,4 51,920
TRIO
1,4,9 10,330
FIRST 4
1,4,9,12 31,439
QUARTET
1,9,4,12 621,091
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
1/1 181
1/9 105
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 34.5