跑馬地 · 2021-09-22
第 5場
2021-09-22跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Z Purton策騎、F C Lor訓練的ALL BEAUTY勝出，贏出1。AURORA PEGASUS獲得亞軍；DESTIN獲得季軍。2.7倍大熱門MANAGEMENT SUPREME跑獲第9名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | ALL BEAUTY CP1 1.09.30 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 6 | 7.3 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | AURORA PEGASUS TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 9 | 15.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 12 | DESTIN B M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 19.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 10 | A SMILE LIKE YOURS K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 4 | 4.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | JOYFUL WIN B H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 12 | 19.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | TAKINGUFURTHER V H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 5 | 21.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 6 | NOBLE DESIRE SR/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 8 | 9.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | WINNING STEED B/H K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 2 | 14.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | MANAGEMENT SUPREME TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 3 | 2.7 | 4 |
| 10 | 7 | RED BRICK FIGHTER B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 11 | 43.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 1 | TRADER B-/TT B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 10 | 18.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | CHIKORITA XB/TT H T Mo · R Gibson | H T Mo | R Gibson | 1 | 44.0 | 5-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | MANAGEMENT SUPREME | 21.6% | 4.63 | 9 |
| 2 | 5 | ALL BEAUTY | 15.2% | 6.56 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | NOBLE DESIRE | 10.4% | 9.57 | 7 |
| 4 | 2 | JOYFUL WIN | 9.9% | 10.07 | 5 |
| 5 | 10 | A SMILE LIKE YOURS | 9.7% | 10.30 | 4 |
| 6 | 8 | WINNING STEED | 6.1% | 16.47 | 8 |
| 7 | 3 | AURORA PEGASUS | 5.5% | 18.09 | 2 |
| 8 | 11 | CHIKORITA | 5.2% | 19.14 | 12 |
| 9 | 12 | DESTIN | 4.7% | 21.25 | 3 |
| 10 | 1 | TRADER | 4.2% | 23.84 | 11 |
| 11 | 7 | RED BRICK FIGHTER | 4.0% | 24.80 | 10 |
| 12 | 9 | TAKINGUFURTHER | 3.3% | 30.31 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 73
PLACE
3 40.5
5 24
12 57
QUINELLA
3,5 666
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 192.5
3,12 414.5
5,12 233
FORECAST
5,3 1,193
TIERCE
5,3,12 16,556
TRIO
3,5,12 3,426
FIRST 4
3,5,10,12 3,694
QUARTET
5,3,12,10 116,690
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 31.5
A3 —
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE
5/3 130.5
5/5 661