跑馬地 · 2021-09-22
第 8場
2021-09-22跑馬地第8場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由L Ferraris策騎、C Fownes訓練的SEVEN HEAVENS勝出，贏出1-1/2。TRANSCENDENT獲得亞軍；QUADRUPLE DOUBLE獲得季軍。3.4倍大熱門QUADRUPLE DOUBLE跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SEVEN HEAVENS B/TT 1.08.85 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 5 | 9.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 5 | TRANSCENDENT CP/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 1 | 6.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | QUADRUPLE DOUBLE TT Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 2 | 3.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | HARMONY N HOME M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 11 | 29.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER PC C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 15.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | LIKE THAT V K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 8 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 10 | RHAPSODY A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 10 | 74.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | DECISIVE TWELVE TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 3 | 4.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | HARRIER JET B C L Chau · P O'Sullivan | C L Chau | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 49.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | TELECOM ROCKET B C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 4 | 41.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | HERE COMES TED B/TT M Chadwick · D E Ferraris | M Chadwick | D E Ferraris | 12 | 21.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 3 | MIGHTY VALOR CP1 J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 7 | 6.9 | 13 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | DECISIVE TWELVE | 25.7% | 3.90 | 8 |
| 2 | 4 | QUADRUPLE DOUBLE | 14.9% | 6.69 | 3 |
| 3 | 12 | TELECOM ROCKET | 8.0% | 12.55 | 10 |
| 4 | 5 | TRANSCENDENT | 7.9% | 12.73 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | MIGHTY VALOR | 7.7% | 13.06 | 12 |
| 6 | 2 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER | 7.4% | 13.60 | 5 |
| 7 | 8 | LIKE THAT | 6.2% | 16.23 | 6 |
| 8 | 11 | HERE COMES TED | 5.5% | 18.04 | 11 |
| 9 | 7 | SEVEN HEAVENS | 4.7% | 21.22 | 1 |
| 10 | 6 | HARMONY N HOME | 4.2% | 23.54 | 4 |
| 11 | 9 | HARRIER JET | 4.2% | 23.85 | 9 |
| 12 | 10 | RHAPSODY | 3.7% | 26.97 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 96.5
PLACE
4 15
5 21
7 24.5
QUINELLA
5,7 391.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 42.5
4,7 55.5
5,7 126
FORECAST
7,5 911
TIERCE
7,5,4 3,625
TRIO
4,5,7 392
FIRST 4
4,5,6,7 1,793
QUARTET
7,5,4,6 47,191
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 30
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,9,11/4,5,7 43,208
7TH DOUBLE
11/5 29
11/7 578.5
SIX UP
1,4/4,5/3,5/6,7/9,11/5,7 12,686
1/5/5/6/11/7 6,332,583
2 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
6/11/5 85
6/11/7 2,663