跑馬地 · 2021-10-06
第 7場
2021-10-06跑馬地第7場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由H Bentley策騎、D A Hayes訓練的SIGHT HERO勝出，贏出1/2。XPONENTIAL獲得亞軍；HERE COMES TED獲得季軍。2.0倍大熱門FORTUNE CARRIER跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SIGHT HERO CP-/B1 1.10.03 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 6 | 9.1 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 2 | XPONENTIAL B/TT C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 7 | 6.9 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | HERE COMES TED B/TT L Ferraris · D E Ferraris | L Ferraris | D E Ferraris | 11 | 18.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | FORTUNE CARRIER B Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 1 | 2.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | GREAT HARVEST A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 12 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 11 | SPICY GRILL B/TT M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 10 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 6 | MELBOURNE HALL XB K C Leung · D J Hall | K C Leung | D J Hall | 4 | 7.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 10 | SPLIT OF A SECOND CP/H H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 3 | 45.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | ALL YOU KNOW CP-/B2/TT A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 8 | 33.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | MUDITA M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 20.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | FORTUNE WINNER PC-/H/TT1 H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 5 | 144.0 | 8-3/4 |
| — | 7 | LITTLE THUNDER J Moreira · A T Millard | J Moreira | A T Millard | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | FORTUNE CARRIER | 45.8% | 2.18 | 4 |
| 2 | 4 | GREAT HARVEST | 12.7% | 7.88 | 5 |
| 3 | 11 | SPICY GRILL | 7.5% | 13.40 | 6 |
| 4 | 2 | XPONENTIAL | 7.5% | 13.42 | 2 |
| 5 | 6 | MELBOURNE HALL | 7.3% | 13.74 | 7 |
| 6 | 9 | SIGHT HERO | 5.5% | 18.07 | 1 |
| 7 | 8 | ALL YOU KNOW | 5.3% | 18.97 | 9 |
| 8 | 1 | HERE COMES TED | 3.6% | 27.50 | 3 |
| 9 | 12 | MUDITA | 3.5% | 28.95 | 10 |
| 10 | 10 | SPLIT OF A SECOND | 0.9% | 106.78 | 8 |
| 11 | 5 | FORTUNE WINNER | 0.5% | 206.12 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 91
PLACE
1 41.5
2 21
9 23.5
QUINELLA
2,9 414
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 124
1,9 254
2,9 99
FORECAST
9,2 985
TIERCE
9,2,1 8,935
TRIO
1,2,9 2,104
FIRST 4
1,2,3,9 629
QUARTET
9,2,1,3 22,240
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
8,10,12/1,2,9 869,498
3 PICK 1
A3 27.5
A1 —
A2 —
6TH DOUBLE
12/2 604
12/9 3,847
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
7,10,11/8,10,12/Any Combination 285,027