跑馬地 · 2021-10-06
第 6場
2021-10-06跑馬地第6場，Class 4，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD。由M L Yeung策騎、K H Ting訓練的SHADOW BREAKER勝出，贏出N。ERNEST FEELING獲得亞軍；CHARIZARD獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.2倍大熱門ERNEST FEELING跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | SHADOW BREAKER 後段發力 SR/TT 1.40.18 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 12 | 34.0 | N |
| 2 | 8 | ERNEST FEELING 後段發力 B/TT M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 8 | 4.2 | N |
| 3 | 10 | CHARIZARD 後段發力 B/TT H W Lai · D E Ferraris | H W Lai | D E Ferraris | 3 | 9.8 | N |
| 4 | 5 | KING DRAGON 後段發力 V/XB K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 9 | 37.0 | N |
| 5 | 1 | MORE THAN ENOUGH B/TT K H Chan · A S Cruz | K H Chan | A S Cruz | 11 | 18.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | NUNCHUKS 後段發力 TT C Schofield · C Fownes | C Schofield | C Fownes | 1 | 5.4 | 5 |
| 7 | 4 | AGILITY STAR 後段發力 CP1 H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 6 | 88.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | YOUNG THUNDER CP/TT H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 5 | 126.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | PEARL CHAMPION B- M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 10 | 20.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | FAITHFUL TRINITY H/TT J Moreira · W Y So | J Moreira | W Y So | 2 | 4.7 | 11 |
| 11 | 9 | SMART WONGCHOY 早段領放 CP/H A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 7 | 9.1 | 14-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | CHATER PINS B Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 4 | 5.3 | 16-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | CHATER PINS | 29.5% | 3.38 | 12 |
| 2 | 8 | ERNEST FEELING | 15.9% | 6.28 | 2 |
| 3 | 9 | SMART WONGCHOY | 11.7% | 8.56 | 11 |
| 4 | 6 | FAITHFUL TRINITY | 9.3% | 10.75 | 10 |
| 5 | 2 | NUNCHUKS | 7.2% | 13.86 | 6 |
| 6 | 1 | MORE THAN ENOUGH | 6.5% | 15.28 | 5 |
| 7 | 10 | CHARIZARD | 4.5% | 22.18 | 3 |
| 8 | 11 | PEARL CHAMPION | 3.8% | 26.33 | 9 |
| 9 | 12 | SHADOW BREAKER | 3.2% | 30.92 | 1 |
| 10 | 3 | YOUNG THUNDER | 3.1% | 31.96 | 8 |
| 11 | 5 | KING DRAGON | 3.0% | 33.30 | 4 |
| 12 | 4 | AGILITY STAR | 2.1% | 47.05 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 340.5
PLACE
8 17
10 26
12 99
QUINELLA
8,12 820
QUINELLA PLACE
8,10 74.5
8,12 249.5
10,12 419
FORECAST
12,8 2,552
TIERCE
12,8,10 16,471
TRIO
8,10,12 2,312
FIRST 4
5,8,10,12 8,318
QUARTET
12,8,10,5 221,176
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 35.5
A1 —
5TH DOUBLE
7/8 45.5
7/12 2,121