跑馬地 · 2021-10-06
第 9場
2021-10-06跑馬地第9場，Class 2，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、Y S Tsui訓練的TELECOM FIGHTERS勝出，贏出3-1/4。SUNSHINE WARRIOR獲得亞軍；SOLAR WAI WAI獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。頭馬以2.5倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | TELECOM FIGHTERS 一路領先 1.38.73 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 1 | 2.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 2 | 12 | SUNSHINE WARRIOR 後段發力 CP/TT V Borges · A S Cruz | V Borges | A S Cruz | 7 | 40.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 3 | 7 | SOLAR WAI WAI M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 4 | 16.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | KILINDINI TT M Chadwick · A T Millard | M Chadwick | A T Millard | 2 | 21.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | HIGHLAND FORTUNE H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 6 | 5.2 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 5 | BEAUTY FIT E M L Yeung · J Size | M L Yeung | J Size | 3 | 6.9 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | SAVVY NINE 後段發力 B/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 11 | 17.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | NOT USUAL TALENT 後段發力 TT B Shinn · T P Yung | B Shinn | T P Yung | 12 | 13.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | HELENE WISDOM STAR 後段發力 H/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 9 | 16.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 3 | RATTAN B-/TT- C Schofield · R Gibson | C Schofield | R Gibson | 8 | 25.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | SAVAQUIN A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 5 | 14.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 1 | RELIABLE TEAM B K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 10 | 24.0 | 19-1/4 |
| — | 0 | GREEN LUCK K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 31.3% | 3.20 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | BEAUTY FIT | 13.8% | 7.22 | 6 |
| 3 | 6 | SAVAQUIN | 10.9% | 9.15 | 11 |
| 4 | 8 | HIGHLAND FORTUNE | 9.9% | 10.07 | 5 |
| 5 | 7 | SOLAR WAI WAI | 7.5% | 13.36 | 3 |
| 6 | 1 | RELIABLE TEAM | 7.3% | 13.78 | 12 |
| 7 | 11 | HELENE WISDOM STAR | 5.4% | 18.49 | 9 |
| 8 | 4 | SAVVY NINE | 4.3% | 23.51 | 7 |
| 9 | 3 | RATTAN | 3.5% | 28.95 | 10 |
| 10 | 2 | NOT USUAL TALENT | 3.3% | 29.91 | 8 |
| 11 | 12 | SUNSHINE WARRIOR | 1.9% | 51.53 | 2 |
| 12 | 9 | KILINDINI | 0.9% | 116.49 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 25
PLACE
7 46.5
10 12.5
12 111.5
QUINELLA
10,12 568
QUINELLA PLACE
7,10 75
7,12 859
10,12 192
FORECAST
10,12 818
TIERCE
10,12,7 9,713
TRIO
7,10,12 2,395
FIRST 4
7,9,10,12 8,315
QUARTET
10,12,7,9 128,135
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 17
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,4/7,10,12 60,120
8TH DOUBLE
4/10 78
4/12 180
SIX UP
7,8/7,10/8,12/2,9/1,4/10,12 25,231
8/7/12/9/4/10 9,817,805
1 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
9/4/10 970
9/4/12 3,536