Happy Valley · 2021-10-06
Race 9
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2021-10-06 was Class 2 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. TELECOM FIGHTERS, ridden by J Moreira and trained by Y S Tsui, won by 3-1/4, with SUNSHINE WARRIOR second and SOLAR WAI WAI third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 2.5 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | TELECOM FIGHTERS Wire to wire 1.38.73 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 1 | 2.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 2 | 12 | SUNSHINE WARRIOR Closed strongly CP/TT V Borges · A S Cruz | V Borges | A S Cruz | 7 | 40.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 3 | 7 | SOLAR WAI WAI M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 4 | 16.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | KILINDINI TT M Chadwick · A T Millard | M Chadwick | A T Millard | 2 | 21.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | HIGHLAND FORTUNE H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 6 | 5.2 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 5 | BEAUTY FIT E M L Yeung · J Size | M L Yeung | J Size | 3 | 6.9 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | SAVVY NINE Closed strongly B/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 11 | 17.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | NOT USUAL TALENT Closed strongly TT B Shinn · T P Yung | B Shinn | T P Yung | 12 | 13.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | HELENE WISDOM STAR Closed strongly H/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 9 | 16.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 3 | RATTAN B-/TT- C Schofield · R Gibson | C Schofield | R Gibson | 8 | 25.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | SAVAQUIN A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 5 | 14.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 1 | RELIABLE TEAM B K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 10 | 24.0 | 19-1/4 |
| — | 0 | GREEN LUCK K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 31.3% | 3.20 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | BEAUTY FIT | 13.8% | 7.22 | 6 |
| 3 | 6 | SAVAQUIN | 10.9% | 9.15 | 11 |
| 4 | 8 | HIGHLAND FORTUNE | 9.9% | 10.07 | 5 |
| 5 | 7 | SOLAR WAI WAI | 7.5% | 13.36 | 3 |
| 6 | 1 | RELIABLE TEAM | 7.3% | 13.78 | 12 |
| 7 | 11 | HELENE WISDOM STAR | 5.4% | 18.49 | 9 |
| 8 | 4 | SAVVY NINE | 4.3% | 23.51 | 7 |
| 9 | 3 | RATTAN | 3.5% | 28.95 | 10 |
| 10 | 2 | NOT USUAL TALENT | 3.3% | 29.91 | 8 |
| 11 | 12 | SUNSHINE WARRIOR | 1.9% | 51.53 | 2 |
| 12 | 9 | KILINDINI | 0.9% | 116.49 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 25
PLACE
7 46.5
10 12.5
12 111.5
QUINELLA
10,12 568
QUINELLA PLACE
7,10 75
7,12 859
10,12 192
FORECAST
10,12 818
TIERCE
10,12,7 9,713
TRIO
7,10,12 2,395
FIRST 4
7,9,10,12 8,315
QUARTET
10,12,7,9 128,135
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 17
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,4/7,10,12 60,120
8TH DOUBLE
4/10 78
4/12 180
SIX UP
7,8/7,10/8,12/2,9/1,4/10,12 25,231
8/7/12/9/4/10 9,817,805
1 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
9/4/10 970
9/4/12 3,536