Happy Valley · 2021-10-06
Race 4
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2021-10-06 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. DYNAMIC EAGLE, ridden by A Badel and trained by C S Shum, won by 1/2, with BLASTOISE second and WEALTHY DELIGHT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite YOO YOO KING did not finish.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | DYNAMIC EAGLE Closed strongly 1.49.54 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 6 | 24.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 7 | BLASTOISE L Ferraris · D E Ferraris | L Ferraris | D E Ferraris | 10 | 16.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | WEALTHY DELIGHT Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 5 | 11.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | WORLD FAMOUS Led early B/XB V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 9 | 6.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | TURIN REDSTAR B H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 1 | 5.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | STIMULATION B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 2 | 24.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 2 | ARTHUR'S KINGDOM H/XB B Shinn · Y S Tsui | B Shinn | Y S Tsui | 3 | 39.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | BUNDLE OF DELIGHT B K C Leung · D J Hall | K C Leung | D J Hall | 7 | 43.0 | 16-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | SUPERBELLA V/TT J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 4 | 3.7 | 22-1/4 |
| — | 9 | YOO YOO KING TT K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 8 | 3.0 | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SUPERBELLA | 25.0% | 4.00 | 9 |
| 2 | 1 | WEALTHY DELIGHT | 22.1% | 4.52 | 3 |
| 3 | 6 | STIMULATION | 11.5% | 8.69 | 6 |
| 4 | 4 | TURIN REDSTAR | 11.4% | 8.74 | 5 |
| 5 | 8 | DYNAMIC EAGLE | 8.9% | 11.28 | 1 |
| 6 | 5 | WORLD FAMOUS | 7.7% | 12.94 | 4 |
| 7 | 7 | BLASTOISE | 7.5% | 13.28 | 2 |
| 8 | 10 | BUNDLE OF DELIGHT | 3.4% | 29.73 | 8 |
| 9 | 2 | ARTHUR'S KINGDOM | 2.4% | 40.89 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 240
PLACE
1 28
7 35.5
8 49.5
QUINELLA
7,8 1,009
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 213.5
1,8 191.5
7,8 243
FORECAST
8,7 1,862
TIERCE
8,7,1 16,601
TRIO
1,7,8 2,435
FIRST 4
1,5,7,8 2,475
QUARTET
8,7,1,5 74,870
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 52
A2 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
8/7 90.5
8/8 622