Happy Valley · 2021-10-06
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SHADOW BREAKER Closed strongly SR/TT 1.40.18 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 12 | 34.0 | N |
| 2 | 0 | ERNEST FEELING Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 8 | 4.2 | N |
| 3 | 0 | CHARIZARD Closed strongly B/TT H W Lai · D E Ferraris | H W Lai | D E Ferraris | 3 | 9.8 | N |
| 4 | 0 | KING DRAGON Closed strongly V/XB K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 9 | 37.0 | N |
| 5 | 0 | MORE THAN ENOUGH B/TT K H Chan · A S Cruz | K H Chan | A S Cruz | 11 | 18.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | NUNCHUKS Closed strongly TT C Schofield · C Fownes | C Schofield | C Fownes | 1 | 5.4 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | AGILITY STAR Closed strongly CP1 H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 6 | 88.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | YOUNG THUNDER CP/TT H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 5 | 126.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | PEARL CHAMPION B- M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 10 | 20.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | FAITHFUL TRINITY H/TT J Moreira · W Y So | J Moreira | W Y So | 2 | 4.7 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | SMART WONGCHOY Led early CP/H A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 7 | 9.1 | 14-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | CHATER PINS B Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 4 | 5.3 | 16-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2021-10-06 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. SHADOW BREAKER, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by K H Ting, won by N, with ERNEST FEELING second and CHARIZARD third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.2 favourite ERNEST FEELING finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CHATER PINS | 29.5% | 3.38 | 12 |
| 2 | 0 | ERNEST FEELING | 15.9% | 6.28 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | SMART WONGCHOY | 11.7% | 8.56 | 11 |
| 4 | 0 | FAITHFUL TRINITY | 9.3% | 10.75 | 10 |
| 5 | 0 | NUNCHUKS | 7.2% | 13.86 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | MORE THAN ENOUGH | 6.5% | 15.28 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | CHARIZARD | 4.5% | 22.18 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | PEARL CHAMPION | 3.8% | 26.33 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | SHADOW BREAKER | 3.2% | 30.92 | 1 |
| 10 | 0 | YOUNG THUNDER | 3.1% | 31.96 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | KING DRAGON | 3.0% | 33.30 | 4 |
| 12 | 0 | AGILITY STAR | 2.1% | 47.05 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 340.5
PLACE
8 17
10 26
12 99
QUINELLA
8,12 820
QUINELLA PLACE
8,10 74.5
8,12 249.5
10,12 419
FORECAST
12,8 2,552
TIERCE
12,8,10 16,471
TRIO
8,10,12 2,312
FIRST 4
5,8,10,12 8,318
QUARTET
12,8,10,5 221,176
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 35.5
5TH DOUBLE
7/8 45.5
7/12 2,121