跑馬地 · 2021-10-20
第 8場
2021-10-20跑馬地第8場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Z Purton策騎、T P Yung訓練的DIAMOND BRILLIANT勝出，贏出N。FAMILY FOLKS獲得亞軍；WOOD ON FIRE獲得季軍。3.3倍大熱門EVER FORCE跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT TT 1.09.10 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 4 | 5.4 | N |
| 2 | 4 | FAMILY FOLKS CP H Bentley · C W Chang | H Bentley | C W Chang | 6 | 4.5 | N |
| 3 | 11 | WOOD ON FIRE H/V/TT K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 2 | 4.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 3 | SIMPLY FLUKE B/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 12 | 21.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 8 | EVER FORCE B/TT J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 1 | 3.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | STOCK LEGEND H/TT C Schofield · K W Lui | C Schofield | K W Lui | 8 | 47.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | TELECOM ROCKET B H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 9 | 44.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 10 | SHINY ONE XB M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 7 | 121.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | SICOMORO P/H1 R Maia · D A Hayes | R Maia | D A Hayes | 5 | 77.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | HURRY HURRY GAIN C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 11 | 17.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 2 | DECISIVE TWELVE TT A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 3 | 9.5 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | HARRIER JET B V Borges · P O'Sullivan | V Borges | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 40.0 | 6-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | EVER FORCE | 35.0% | 2.86 | 5 |
| 2 | 6 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT | 16.7% | 6.00 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | DECISIVE TWELVE | 10.1% | 9.93 | 11 |
| 4 | 11 | WOOD ON FIRE | 8.5% | 11.79 | 3 |
| 5 | 4 | FAMILY FOLKS | 7.9% | 12.58 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 | SIMPLY FLUKE | 6.0% | 16.53 | 4 |
| 7 | 5 | HURRY HURRY GAIN | 5.3% | 18.70 | 10 |
| 8 | 1 | STOCK LEGEND | 3.5% | 28.97 | 6 |
| 9 | 9 | HARRIER JET | 2.7% | 37.26 | 12 |
| 10 | 12 | TELECOM ROCKET | 1.9% | 51.54 | 7 |
| 11 | 7 | SICOMORO | 1.3% | 79.99 | 9 |
| 12 | 10 | SHINY ONE | 1.2% | 86.74 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 54.5
PLACE
4 18
6 17.5
11 17
QUINELLA
4,6 119.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 45.5
4,11 45
6,11 49
FORECAST
6,4 255
TIERCE
6,4,11 1,020
TRIO
4,6,11 235
FIRST 4
3,4,6,11 599
QUARTET
6,4,11,3 12,161
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 19.5
A1 —
7TH DOUBLE
7/4 15.5
7/6 141.5