跑馬地 · 2021-10-20
第 6場
2021-10-20跑馬地第6場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Z Purton策騎、D A Hayes訓練的HARMONY N BLESSED勝出，贏出NOSE。HARMONY FIRE獲得亞軍；SERGEANT PEPPER獲得季軍。頭馬以2.5倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | HARMONY N BLESSED BO/XB/TT 0.56.70 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 9 | 2.5 | NOSE |
| 2 | 4 | HARMONY FIRE XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 6 | 4.9 | NOSE |
| 3 | 9 | SERGEANT PEPPER K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 3 | 9.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | TRIPLE TRIPLE XB-/CP M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 8 | 25.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | WINE AND WINE B2/TT C Wong · T P Yung | C Wong | T P Yung | 12 | 86.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | RESOLUTE B L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 4 | 9.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | FLYING HIGH H/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 2 | 16.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 8 | CANTSTOPTHEFEELING B/TT V Borges · K L Man | V Borges | K L Man | 1 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | BRILLIANT FORTUNE B/H J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 10 | 7.2 | 4 |
| 10 | 5 | SOLID IMPACT C Schofield · D J Hall | C Schofield | D J Hall | 7 | 42.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | FLYING GENIUS B/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 11 | 50.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 11 | WILD WEST WING A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 5 | 54.0 | 9 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | HARMONY N BLESSED | 23.2% | 4.31 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | HARMONY FIRE | 18.8% | 5.31 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | BRILLIANT FORTUNE | 15.3% | 6.54 | 9 |
| 4 | 3 | RESOLUTE | 10.1% | 9.87 | 6 |
| 5 | 12 | FLYING HIGH | 6.2% | 16.06 | 7 |
| 6 | 8 | CANTSTOPTHEFEELING | 5.7% | 17.49 | 8 |
| 7 | 1 | FLYING GENIUS | 4.2% | 23.66 | 11 |
| 8 | 10 | TRIPLE TRIPLE | 4.0% | 24.78 | 4 |
| 9 | 7 | WINE AND WINE | 3.7% | 26.70 | 5 |
| 10 | 5 | SOLID IMPACT | 3.3% | 30.74 | 10 |
| 11 | 9 | SERGEANT PEPPER | 2.8% | 35.19 | 3 |
| 12 | 11 | WILD WEST WING | 2.5% | 39.79 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 25
PLACE
2 16
4 15.5
9 26.5
QUINELLA
2,4 69
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 27.5
2,9 63.5
4,9 89.5
FORECAST
2,4 95
TIERCE
2,4,9 706
TRIO
2,4,9 153
FIRST 4
2,4,9,10 781
QUARTET
2,4,9,10 8,779
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 16.5
5TH DOUBLE
7/2 137
7/4 29.5