跑馬地 · 2021-10-20
第 1場
2021-10-20跑馬地第1場，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由A Hamelin策騎、K H Ting訓練的ALLOY KING勝出，贏出1-1/2。DAY DAY RICH獲得亞軍；GOODMANSHIP獲得季軍。5.7倍大熱門DAY DAY RICH跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | ALLOY KING CP 1.09.17 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 3 | 7.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 6 | DAY DAY RICH B/TT B Shinn · T P Yung | B Shinn | T P Yung | 1 | 5.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | GOODMANSHIP B/TT1 J Moreira · D J Whyte | J Moreira | D J Whyte | 9 | 7.8 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | SUNNY SMILE TT C L Chau · D E Ferraris | C L Chau | D E Ferraris | 7 | 27.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | MUDITA B2 K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 9.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | WHO LOVES THE ACE TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 11 | 23.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | SHANGHAI POWER B M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 8 | 7.1 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 9 | GOLDEN MISSION B H Bentley · C W Chang | H Bentley | C W Chang | 10 | 6.3 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | WHO'S HORSE B/XB/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 4 | 14.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 2 | FANTASTIC FABIO Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 12 | 11.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | AFTER ME B H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 5 | 8.4 | 11 |
| 12 | 11 | TIGERLAD B/TT H T Mo · R Gibson | H T Mo | R Gibson | 6 | 65.0 | 12-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | ALLOY KING | 17.3% | 5.80 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | GOODMANSHIP | 12.4% | 8.07 | 3 |
| 3 | 2 | FANTASTIC FABIO | 12.2% | 8.19 | 10 |
| 4 | 6 | DAY DAY RICH | 10.6% | 9.43 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | GOLDEN MISSION | 10.5% | 9.49 | 8 |
| 6 | 1 | MUDITA | 8.9% | 11.28 | 5 |
| 7 | 12 | WHO'S HORSE | 8.0% | 12.49 | 9 |
| 8 | 4 | SHANGHAI POWER | 6.7% | 14.99 | 7 |
| 9 | 5 | WHO LOVES THE ACE | 5.8% | 17.21 | 6 |
| 10 | 11 | TIGERLAD | 2.9% | 34.52 | 12 |
| 11 | 7 | AFTER ME | 2.6% | 37.87 | 11 |
| 12 | 10 | SUNNY SMILE | 2.1% | 47.44 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 73.5
PLACE
3 31.5
6 22.5
8 22
QUINELLA
6,8 239.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 101
3,8 124
6,8 81
FORECAST
8,6 542
TIERCE
8,6,3 5,513
TRIO
3,6,8 681
FIRST 4
3,6,8,10 5,641
QUARTET
8,6,3,10 103,361
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 45
A3 —
A2 —