跑馬地 · 2021-10-31
第 6場
2021-10-31跑馬地第6場，Class 4，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Y Ho策騎、K W Lui訓練的SEAWEED FORTUNE勝出，贏出1-1/4。CHARIZARD獲得亞軍；V CHEVALIERS獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.0倍大熱門ERNEST FEELING跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SEAWEED FORTUNE 後段發力 V/TT 1.39.94 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 17.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 12 | CHARIZARD 後段發力 B/TT L Ferraris · D E Ferraris | L Ferraris | D E Ferraris | 3 | 8.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 3 | V CHEVALIERS 後段發力 H/TT K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 10 | 13.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | JOLLY HONOUR 後段發力 B/TT A Badel · Y S Tsui | A Badel | Y S Tsui | 11 | 36.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | ERNEST FEELING 早段領放 B/TT Z Purton · R Gibson | Z Purton | R Gibson | 5 | 2.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 11 | CHATER PINS 後段發力 B- A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | 12 | 58.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | MORE THAN ENOUGH B/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 2 | 10.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | FREE FOAL M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 8 | 7.9 | 6 |
| 9 | 8 | MAKE IT TURBO M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 1 | 47.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | TURQUOISE ALPHA CP K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 25.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | FAST PACE H B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 7 | 10.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 9 | CHEERFUL LEADER B/XB K H Chan · P F Yiu | K H Chan | P F Yiu | 9 | 25.0 | 17-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | ERNEST FEELING | 30.8% | 3.25 | 5 |
| 2 | 1 | FAST PACE | 13.8% | 7.24 | 11 |
| 3 | 2 | MORE THAN ENOUGH | 10.6% | 9.40 | 7 |
| 4 | 6 | FREE FOAL | 8.8% | 11.34 | 8 |
| 5 | 12 | CHARIZARD | 7.8% | 12.82 | 2 |
| 6 | 7 | SEAWEED FORTUNE | 6.0% | 16.61 | 1 |
| 7 | 4 | JOLLY HONOUR | 5.6% | 17.76 | 4 |
| 8 | 5 | TURQUOISE ALPHA | 5.3% | 18.71 | 10 |
| 9 | 3 | V CHEVALIERS | 3.9% | 25.41 | 3 |
| 10 | 11 | CHATER PINS | 3.4% | 29.23 | 6 |
| 11 | 9 | CHEERFUL LEADER | 3.1% | 31.87 | 12 |
| 12 | 8 | MAKE IT TURBO | 0.7% | 149.83 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 176
PLACE
3 33.5
7 40.5
12 22
QUINELLA
7,12 811.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 215
3,12 149.5
7,12 180
FORECAST
7,12 1,401
TIERCE
7,12,3 13,547
TRIO
3,7,12 2,327
FIRST 4
3,4,7,12 5,235
QUARTET
7,12,3,4 95,788
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 36
A1 —
5TH DOUBLE
11/7 1,159
11/12 79
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,6,9/8,9,11/Any Combination 2,607