跑馬地 · 2021-10-31
第 8場
2021-10-31跑馬地第8場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由M Chadwick策騎、F C Lor訓練的FLAMING PASSION勝出，贏出1-1/4。WINWIN THIRTYTHREE獲得亞軍；HERO STAR獲得季軍。4.0倍大熱門IRON KING跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | FLAMING PASSION TT 1.10.07 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 3 | 7.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 12 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE B C Wong · P F Yiu | C Wong | P F Yiu | 4 | 52.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 4 | HERO STAR TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 11 | 8.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | FARIBAULT CP K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 5.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | MELBOURNE HALL XB M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 7 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | AURORA PEGASUS H1/V1/TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 1 | 9.5 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | FORTUNE MASTER B C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 5 | 15.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 10 | IRON KING TT Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 10 | 4.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 1 | PRETTY QUEEN PRAWN H/XB/TT L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 12 | 51.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | BALTIC WHISPER TT A Hamelin · C S Shum | A Hamelin | C S Shum | 8 | 19.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 3 | EUROMISSILE CP/XB C Y Ho · C W Chang | C Y Ho | C W Chang | 6 | 23.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 12 | 6 | BEAUTY CHEERS A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 9 | 8.5 | 21-3/4 |
| — | 0 | HERE COMES TED L Ferraris · D E Ferraris | L Ferraris | D E Ferraris | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | IRON KING | 22.8% | 4.39 | 8 |
| 2 | 7 | FARIBAULT | 11.8% | 8.45 | 4 |
| 3 | 8 | FLAMING PASSION | 11.4% | 8.76 | 1 |
| 4 | 5 | BALTIC WHISPER | 10.7% | 9.33 | 10 |
| 5 | 6 | BEAUTY CHEERS | 7.7% | 13.03 | 12 |
| 6 | 2 | AURORA PEGASUS | 6.5% | 15.33 | 6 |
| 7 | 11 | MELBOURNE HALL | 6.5% | 15.42 | 5 |
| 8 | 4 | HERO STAR | 5.9% | 17.03 | 3 |
| 9 | 9 | FORTUNE MASTER | 5.4% | 18.48 | 7 |
| 10 | 3 | EUROMISSILE | 3.8% | 26.19 | 11 |
| 11 | 12 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE | 3.8% | 26.25 | 2 |
| 12 | 1 | PRETTY QUEEN PRAWN | 3.7% | 27.33 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 70.5
PLACE
4 29
8 26
12 123
QUINELLA
8,12 1,912
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 92.5
4,12 543.5
8,12 521.5
FORECAST
8,12 5,265
TIERCE
8,12,4 23,383
TRIO
4,8,12 3,543
FIRST 4
4,7,8,12 5,270
QUARTET
8,12,4,7 192,966
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 22
A1 —
A2 —
7TH DOUBLE
2/8 2,024.5
2/12 1,497