跑馬地 · 2021-11-24
第 8場
2021-11-24跑馬地第8場，Class 2，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、J Size訓練的SCORES OF FUN勝出，贏出1-1/2。DROPS OF GOD獲得亞軍；WINNING METHOD獲得季軍。3.4倍大熱門DROPS OF GOD跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SCORES OF FUN TT 1.09.06 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 1 | 4.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 8 | DROPS OF GOD J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 4 | 3.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 12 | WINNING METHOD TT M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 11 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | KEEP YOU WARM B/XB K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 10 | 7.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | SIGHT SUCCESS E V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 7 | 6.6 | 2 |
| 6 | 11 | BE READY V M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 5 | 27.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 3 | SPARKLING DRAGON TT K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 6 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | WISHFUL THINKER CP C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 2 | 24.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | TRANSCENDENT CP/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 3 | 19.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | DECRYPT B1/TT R Maia · D A Hayes | R Maia | D A Hayes | 8 | 55.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 9 | HARMONY FIRE CP/XB C Y Ho · D J Whyte | C Y Ho | D J Whyte | 9 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 5 | GOOD LUCK FRIEND CP H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 12 | 86.0 | 6-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | HARMONY FIRE | 17.7% | 5.64 | 11 |
| 2 | 8 | DROPS OF GOD | 17.1% | 5.85 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | SCORES OF FUN | 16.4% | 6.10 | 1 |
| 4 | 7 | KEEP YOU WARM | 12.9% | 7.74 | 4 |
| 5 | 2 | SIGHT SUCCESS | 8.7% | 11.48 | 5 |
| 6 | 10 | TRANSCENDENT | 7.3% | 13.76 | 9 |
| 7 | 11 | BE READY | 5.8% | 17.31 | 6 |
| 8 | 12 | WINNING METHOD | 3.9% | 25.57 | 3 |
| 9 | 1 | WISHFUL THINKER | 3.7% | 26.74 | 8 |
| 10 | 3 | SPARKLING DRAGON | 2.9% | 34.38 | 7 |
| 11 | 5 | GOOD LUCK FRIEND | 2.6% | 39.13 | 12 |
| 12 | 4 | DECRYPT | 1.0% | 100.07 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 48
PLACE
6 17.5
8 16
12 32
QUINELLA
6,8 96
QUINELLA PLACE
6,8 38.5
6,12 75.5
8,12 78
FORECAST
6,8 234
TIERCE
6,8,12 1,695
TRIO
6,8,12 294
FIRST 4
6,7,8,12 657
QUARTET
6,8,12,7 12,800
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 20
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
4,8,9/6,8,12 33,707
7TH DOUBLE
4/6 274.5
4/8 50.5
SIX UP
2,5/2,9/4,11/1,3,11/4,8/6,8 808
2/9/4/1,3/4/6 33,203
1 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
1,3/4/6 423
1,3/4/8 63