Happy Valley · 2021-11-24
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SCORES OF FUN TT 1.09.06 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 1 | 4.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | DROPS OF GOD J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 4 | 3.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | WINNING METHOD TT M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 11 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | KEEP YOU WARM B/XB K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 10 | 7.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | SIGHT SUCCESS E V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 7 | 6.6 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | BE READY V M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 5 | 27.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | SPARKLING DRAGON TT K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 6 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | WISHFUL THINKER CP C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 2 | 24.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | TRANSCENDENT CP/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 3 | 19.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | DECRYPT B1/TT R Maia · D A Hayes | R Maia | D A Hayes | 8 | 55.0 | 4 |
| 12 | 0 | GOOD LUCK FRIEND CP H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 12 | 86.0 | 6-1/2 |
| — | 0 | HARMONY FIRE CP/XB C Y Ho · D J Whyte | C Y Ho | D J Whyte | — | 10.0 | 5 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2021-11-24 was Class 2 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SCORES OF FUN, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won by 1-1/2, with DROPS OF GOD second and WINNING METHOD third. The 3.4 favourite DROPS OF GOD finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HARMONY FIRE | 17.7% | 5.64 | — |
| 2 | 0 | DROPS OF GOD | 17.1% | 5.85 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | SCORES OF FUN | 16.4% | 6.10 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | KEEP YOU WARM | 12.9% | 7.74 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | SIGHT SUCCESS | 8.7% | 11.48 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | TRANSCENDENT | 7.3% | 13.76 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | BE READY | 5.8% | 17.31 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | WINNING METHOD | 3.9% | 25.57 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | WISHFUL THINKER | 3.7% | 26.74 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | SPARKLING DRAGON | 2.9% | 34.38 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | GOOD LUCK FRIEND | 2.6% | 39.13 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | DECRYPT | 1.0% | 100.07 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 48
PLACE
6 17.5
8 16
12 32
QUINELLA
6,8 96
QUINELLA PLACE
6,8 38.5
6,12 75.5
8,12 78
FORECAST
6,8 234
TIERCE
6,8,12 1,695
TRIO
6,8,12 294
FIRST 4
6,7,8,12 657
QUARTET
6,8,12,7 12,800
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 20
A3 —
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
4,8,9/6,8,12 33,707
7TH DOUBLE
4/6 274.5
4/8 50.5
SIX UP
2,5/2,9/4,11/1,3,11/4,8/6,8 808
2/9/4/1,3/4/6 33,203
1 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
1,3/4/6 423
1,3/4/8 63