Happy Valley · 2021-11-24
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RUN THE TABLE Closed strongly H 1.39.89 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 12 | 8.5 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | AMAZING BOY Closed strongly B/TT J Moreira · C W Chang | J Moreira | C W Chang | 2 | 3.4 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | MISTER ARM H- B Shinn · Y S Tsui | B Shinn | Y S Tsui | 6 | 5.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | CENTENARY IBIS B/XB/TT A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 9 | 8.4 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | ALL BEST FRIENDS B A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 1 | 6.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | NITRO EXPRESS Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 10 | 32.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | VECTOR Led early B/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 7 | 20.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | WHO LOVES THE ACE Closed strongly TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 11 | 7.1 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | SMILING FACE B V Borges · D J Whyte | V Borges | D J Whyte | 8 | 47.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | KWAI CHUNG ELITE B K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 4 | 15.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | SUN SUN FA FA B/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 3 | 20.0 | 14-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | TOP ACCOLADE XB/TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 5 | 71.0 | 14-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2021-11-24 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. RUN THE TABLE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K W Lui, won by 3/4, with AMAZING BOY second and MISTER ARM third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.4 favourite AMAZING BOY finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | AMAZING BOY | 26.0% | 3.84 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | RUN THE TABLE | 19.2% | 5.20 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | ALL BEST FRIENDS | 11.4% | 8.80 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | KWAI CHUNG ELITE | 8.7% | 11.43 | 10 |
| 5 | 0 | WHO LOVES THE ACE | 7.0% | 14.32 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | SUN SUN FA FA | 6.8% | 14.66 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | VECTOR | 5.5% | 18.12 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | CENTENARY IBIS | 4.6% | 21.82 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | MISTER ARM | 4.1% | 24.35 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | NITRO EXPRESS | 4.0% | 25.28 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | SMILING FACE | 1.3% | 75.13 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | TOP ACCOLADE | 1.3% | 75.51 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 85
PLACE
2 26.5
5 15.5
6 22.5
QUINELLA
2,5 144.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 49.5
2,6 98
5,6 49.5
FORECAST
2,5 334
TIERCE
2,5,6 1,828
TRIO
2,5,6 371
FIRST 4
2,5,6,11 507
QUARTET
2,5,6,11 12,963
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
11/2 348.5
11/5 30.5
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 24.5