Happy Valley · 2021-11-24
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CHEERFUL DAYS Closed strongly B 1.38.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 8 | 7.0 | N |
| 2 | 0 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE Closed strongly TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 1 | 13.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | ROMANTIC COMBO Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 3 | 3.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | TORONADO PHANTOM Closed strongly TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 6 | 2.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | TOTAL POWER Closed strongly B A Hamelin · D J Hall | A Hamelin | D J Hall | 7 | 27.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | YO BEAUTY Led early CP/H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 9 | 15.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | MAGNIFICENT H T Mo · K H Ting | H T Mo | K H Ting | 2 | 20.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | FARSHAD Closed strongly CP K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 5 | 57.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | EVERYONE'S DELIGHT V/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 11 | 5.6 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | LIFELINE VISION B1 L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 10 | 73.0 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | SUPER WINNER TT K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 4 | 52.0 | 11-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2021-11-24 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. CHEERFUL DAYS, ridden by A Badel and trained by K W Lui, won by N, with INVINCIBLE MISSILE second and ROMANTIC COMBO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.7 favourite TORONADO PHANTOM finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TORONADO PHANTOM | 29.0% | 3.45 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | EVERYONE'S DELIGHT | 16.2% | 6.18 | 9 |
| 3 | 0 | ROMANTIC COMBO | 16.2% | 6.18 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | CHEERFUL DAYS | 12.1% | 8.29 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | SUPER WINNER | 5.5% | 18.33 | 11 |
| 6 | 0 | YO BEAUTY | 5.4% | 18.41 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | MAGNIFICENT | 4.3% | 23.45 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | TOTAL POWER | 4.3% | 23.52 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | LIFELINE VISION | 3.4% | 29.81 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 2.3% | 43.19 | 2 |
| 11 | 0 | FARSHAD | 1.5% | 65.46 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 70.5
PLACE
4 20.5
8 33.5
9 14
QUINELLA
4,8 397.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 117
4,9 43.5
8,9 63
FORECAST
4,8 894
TIERCE
4,8,9 2,787
TRIO
4,8,9 366
FIRST 4
4,8,9,11 239
QUARTET
4,8,9,11 8,320
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 22.5
6TH DOUBLE
1,3/4 66.5
1,3/8 41