Happy Valley · 2021-11-24
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR Closed strongly H/XB 1.39.25 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 1 | 4.9 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | AI ONE Closed strongly B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 9 | 39.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | DR WINNING Closed strongly TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 5 | 4.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | TRAVEL GLORY B A Badel · Y S Tsui | A Badel | Y S Tsui | 8 | 9.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | SUPER RED DRAGON Closed strongly B/TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 7 | 32.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | FREE FOAL M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 10 | 5.6 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | NORDIC WARRIOR Closed strongly B C L Chau · R Gibson | C L Chau | R Gibson | 2 | 12.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | HAPPY LAND Led early XB/B1/TT R Maia · C S Shum | R Maia | C S Shum | 6 | 33.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | KING DRAGON Closed strongly V/XB K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 3 | 9.4 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | OFF THE REEL XB C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 12 | 4.8 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | FORTUNE WINNER H/TT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 4 | 137.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT B-/V2 K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 11 | 45.0 | 25 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2021-11-24 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. YEE CHEONG WARRIOR, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Hall, won by 1, with AI ONE second and DR WINNING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.6 favourite DR WINNING finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR | 23.0% | 4.35 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | DR WINNING | 20.6% | 4.86 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | OFF THE REEL | 17.3% | 5.77 | 10 |
| 4 | 0 | NORDIC WARRIOR | 7.9% | 12.59 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | KING DRAGON | 6.7% | 15.00 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | TRAVEL GLORY | 6.1% | 16.53 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | FREE FOAL | 5.8% | 17.13 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | HAPPY LAND | 4.9% | 20.33 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | SUPER RED DRAGON | 3.1% | 32.22 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | AI ONE | 2.7% | 36.66 | 2 |
| 11 | 0 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT | 1.2% | 82.69 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | FORTUNE WINNER | 0.6% | 161.90 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 49.5
PLACE
4 92.5
8 18
11 20
QUINELLA
4,11 911
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 272.5
4,11 269
8,11 49
FORECAST
11,4 1,832
TIERCE
11,4,8 8,533
TRIO
4,8,11 1,094
FIRST 4
4,8,11,12 2,413
QUARTET
11,4,8,12 55,901
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
1/4 163
1/11 108.5
3 PICK 1
A1 24
A3 —
A2 —