跑馬地 · 2021-11-24
第 6場
2021-11-24跑馬地第6場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、C S Shum訓練的ROMANTIC WARRIOR勝出，贏出1。MELBOURNE HALL獲得亞軍；TRADER獲得季軍。頭馬以1.4倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | ROMANTIC WARRIOR TT 1.09.41 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 5 | 1.4 | 1 |
| 2 | 11 | MELBOURNE HALL XB/H2 M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 1 | 8.3 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | TRADER TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 2 | 6.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | BREEZE OF SPRING TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 8 | 24.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | STRIVE FOR GLORY B1/TT L Ferraris · D E Ferraris | L Ferraris | D E Ferraris | 4 | 45.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 10 | STAR OF WUYI B/TT K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 3 | 13.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | WILD WEST WING V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 11 | 48.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | RED BRICK GLORY XB C Wong · P F Yiu | C Wong | P F Yiu | 10 | 128.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 4 | BRIGHT KID B/XB H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 9 | 105.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | NATURAL GOLD K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 66.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | BORDER CONTROL H/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 7 | 37.0 | 22-3/4 |
| — | 3 | TURBO POWER C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | ROMANTIC WARRIOR | 32.1% | 3.12 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | TRADER | 25.0% | 4.00 | 3 |
| 3 | 11 | MELBOURNE HALL | 14.5% | 6.88 | 2 |
| 4 | 8 | BREEZE OF SPRING | 8.8% | 11.38 | 4 |
| 5 | 10 | STAR OF WUYI | 5.0% | 19.97 | 6 |
| 6 | 9 | STRIVE FOR GLORY | 4.8% | 20.72 | 5 |
| 7 | 6 | BORDER CONTROL | 3.6% | 27.47 | 11 |
| 8 | 5 | WILD WEST WING | 2.7% | 37.64 | 7 |
| 9 | 7 | NATURAL GOLD | 1.8% | 55.89 | 10 |
| 10 | 12 | RED BRICK GLORY | 1.0% | 105.20 | 8 |
| 11 | 4 | BRIGHT KID | 0.7% | 139.48 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 14
PLACE
1 10.1
2 17
11 17.5
QUINELLA
1,11 51.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 20.5
1,11 21
2,11 40.5
FORECAST
1,11 65
TIERCE
1,11,2 196
TRIO
1,2,11 60
FIRST 4
1,2,8,11 124
QUARTET
1,11,2,8 1,027
全部彩池（另 5 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,9,11/1,2,3,11 10,213
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 12.5
5TH DOUBLE
4/1,3 63
4/11 63.5
TRIPLE TRIO
2,4,9/4,9,11/1,2,3,11 265,801
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,4,9/4,9,11/Any Combination 5,315