沙田 · 2021-12-05
第 5場
2021-12-05沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由L Hewitson策騎、D J Whyte訓練的VALIANT ELEGANCE勝出，贏出HD。FIERY DIAMOND獲得亞軍；FLYING ON THE TURF獲得季軍。5.6倍大熱門PEGASUS GLORY跑獲第11名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | VALIANT ELEGANCE B/TT 1.08.48 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 9 | 8.1 | HD |
| 2 | 6 | FIERY DIAMOND M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 4 | 9.3 | HD |
| 3 | 3 | FLYING ON THE TURF B/XB A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 3 | 8.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | DRAGON BABY B-/E/PC1/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 6 | 13.0 | 5 |
| 5 | 9 | LUCKY RUBY B/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 12 | 10.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | SMART LEADER B/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 8 | 9.7 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | STREET SCREAM H/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 11 | 8.1 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | DURHAM STAR B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 13.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | EUROMISSILE CP/XB M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 5 | 37.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | CHIRON B1/TT R Maia · D A Hayes | R Maia | D A Hayes | 2 | 5.9 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 1 | PEGASUS GLORY B C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 1 | 5.6 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | CELESTIAL WARRIOR TT1 V Borges · K W Lui | V Borges | K W Lui | 10 | 72.0 | 12-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | DRAGON BABY | 13.6% | 7.36 | 4 |
| 2 | 2 | STREET SCREAM | 11.8% | 8.49 | 7 |
| 3 | 10 | CHIRON | 11.4% | 8.79 | 10 |
| 4 | 4 | SMART LEADER | 11.0% | 9.07 | 6 |
| 5 | 11 | DURHAM STAR | 9.6% | 10.43 | 8 |
| 6 | 1 | PEGASUS GLORY | 9.4% | 10.68 | 11 |
| 7 | 3 | FLYING ON THE TURF | 8.0% | 12.58 | 3 |
| 8 | 6 | FIERY DIAMOND | 7.4% | 13.43 | 2 |
| 9 | 9 | LUCKY RUBY | 6.2% | 16.22 | 5 |
| 10 | 7 | EUROMISSILE | 5.1% | 19.52 | 9 |
| 11 | 5 | CELESTIAL WARRIOR | 4.0% | 25.02 | 12 |
| 12 | 12 | VALIANT ELEGANCE | 2.6% | 38.21 | 1 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 81.5
PLACE
3 26
6 38
12 27.5
QUINELLA
6,12 356.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 159.5
3,12 122
6,12 155
FORECAST
12,6 1,237
TIERCE
12,6,3 8,076
TRIO
3,6,12 1,395
FIRST 4
3,6,8,12 5,195
QUARTET
12,6,3,8 137,492
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 18.5
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE
14/6 340.5
14/12 3,033.5