沙田 · 2021-12-05
第 9場
2021-12-05沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由M F Poon策騎、F C Lor訓練的INFINITE POWER勝出，贏出3/4。ULTRA EXPRESS獲得亞軍；ELITE PATCH獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。2.8倍大熱門ULTRA EXPRESS跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | INFINITE POWER 一路領先 CP 1.37.82 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 7 | 5.1 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 1 | ULTRA EXPRESS 後段發力 TT J Moreira · A T Millard | J Moreira | A T Millard | 3 | 2.8 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | ELITE PATCH 後段發力 B/H/TT R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 4 | 6.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | CROSSFORD 後段發力 P/H1 Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 13 | 14.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 14 | SUPER WIN DRAGON 後段發力 TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 10 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 | READY PLAYER ONE TT1 A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 11 | 43.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 10 | PARTY EVERYDAY H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 1 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | GAMEPLAYER TIMES 後段發力 SR/XB H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 8 | 15.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | KING'S CAPITAL C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 2 | 17.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | ROYAL PRIDE 後段發力 B2/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 14 | 60.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 13 | GOLD COMET B A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 9 | 46.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | GREEN LASER 後段發力 SR/TT L Hewitson · D E Ferraris | L Hewitson | D E Ferraris | 12 | 125.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 13 | 11 | STAR OF YUEN LONG B2/TT1 K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 5 | 10.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 14 | 9 | FARSHAD CP- H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 6 | 50.0 | 12-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | ULTRA EXPRESS | 32.4% | 3.08 | 2 |
| 2 | 12 | INFINITE POWER | 10.9% | 9.19 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | KING'S CAPITAL | 10.3% | 9.71 | 9 |
| 4 | 4 | READY PLAYER ONE | 7.5% | 13.38 | 6 |
| 5 | 7 | CROSSFORD | 6.4% | 15.61 | 4 |
| 6 | 10 | PARTY EVERYDAY | 6.3% | 15.77 | 7 |
| 7 | 8 | GAMEPLAYER TIMES | 6.0% | 16.53 | 8 |
| 8 | 14 | SUPER WIN DRAGON | 5.7% | 17.61 | 5 |
| 9 | 13 | GOLD COMET | 3.7% | 26.84 | 11 |
| 10 | 2 | ELITE PATCH | 3.0% | 33.20 | 3 |
| 11 | 3 | ROYAL PRIDE | 3.0% | 33.69 | 10 |
| 12 | 11 | STAR OF YUEN LONG | 2.8% | 35.55 | 13 |
| 13 | 9 | FARSHAD | 1.3% | 74.95 | 14 |
| 14 | 5 | GREEN LASER | 0.6% | 168.54 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 51.5
PLACE
1 14.5
2 22
12 20
QUINELLA
1,12 98
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 42.5
1,12 40.5
2,12 84
FORECAST
12,1 216
TIERCE
12,1,2 963
TRIO
1,2,12 208
FIRST 4
1,2,7,12 637
QUARTET
12,1,2,7 11,814
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 29.5
8TH DOUBLE
12/1 585.5
12/12 9,029